The 7-7-0 New York Jets host the 6-8-0 Jacksonville Jaguars at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The Jets have a point spread of -2 with a money line of -130. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 37 points.
Jacksonville Jaguars (2)
New York Jets (-2)
New York Jets Offense:
The Jets are coached by Robert Saleh who has been with the team since 2021. They have a current season record of 7-7-0 after going 4-13 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Robert Saleh is no different.
Zach Wilson is the quarterback for the Jets. The 23-year-old BYU alum entered the league in 2021 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 8 games and thrown for 1596 yards with a completion percentage of 54.9 percent. Zach Wilson has thrown 6 touchdowns despite 6 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 75.3.
His main target will be Garrett Wilson. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 22-year-old target. He has made 67 receptions to date on 110 targets, a catch percentage of 60.9%, for a total of 966 yards. Garrett Wilson is averaging 14.4 yards per catch with 4 touchdowns thus far. Zach Wilson will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Jets running game is lead by the 21-year-old Breece Hall. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 80 carries and rushed for 463 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 66.1 YPG, a number that you know Robert Saleh would love to see him exceed in this game. Breece Hall has 4 touchdowns this season and 1 fumbles.
Overall, the New York Jets offense ranks 19 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -2.8%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 22 with a Passing DVOA of 5.4%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of -4.1%, ranking #16 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.488 with 20 Red Zone touchdowns in 41 attempts.
New York Jets Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Jets have a Defense DVOA of -11.30%, ranking 6 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #6 at -8.80% and they’ll need them to show up against Trevor Lawrence. The Robert Saleh-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of -8.80%, #7 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Greg Zuerlein who has made 25 of 30 field goals this season, a 83.3% field goal percentage, with a long of 60 yards. The New York Jets fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense:
The Jaguars are on the road for this one. Doug Pederson’s squad is 6-8-0 this season after going 3-14 last year. He has been at the helm since 2022 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Jacksonville Jaguars have a betting line of 2 or you could bet them straight up at 110.
23-year-old Trevor Lawrence will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2021 after playing his college days at Clemson. Trevor Lawrence has a quarterback rating of 96.6 on 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. He’s started 14 games and thrown for 3520yards, a completion percentage of 66.0.
Travis Etienne is the lead back for the Jaguars running game. The 23-year-old has taken 182 carries and rushed for 917 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 65.5 YPG and he has scored 4 touchdowns with 5 fumbles.
On the passing front, Trevor Lawrence will look to target Christian Kirk against the Doug Pederson defense. Christian Kirk has 7 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 116 times and made 73 catches for 966 yards. Christian Kirk has a catch percentage of 62.9% and his yards per reception is 13.2.
According to FootballOutsiders, the Jacksonville Jaguars offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of 9.4% which ranks at number 8 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is 28.3%, the number 6 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 17 with a Rush DVOA total of -4.9%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 28 Red Zone touchdowns on 51 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.549.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Riley Patterson to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 52 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Riley Patterson has made 23 field goals on 52 attempts, a field goal percentage of 85.2%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Jaguars with a Defensive DVOA of 9.90% which ranks at 28/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #6 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of -8.80%. Comparatively, the run defense has a 25.00% DVOA which ranks at #7.
- Zach Wilson QB Rating of 75.3 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Pass DVOA Defense of 28.3%
The Jaguars have 12 interceptions this year and 26 sacks. They are allowing 23.4 points per game.
- Breece Hall vs. Jacksonville Jaguars number 17 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 4.2 yards per carry against the the Jacksonville Jaguars and 118.1 per game.
- Trevor Lawrence QB Rating of 96.6 vs. New York Jets #6 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Jets defense has allowed 18.8 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 39 times and picked him off 12 times.
- Travis Etienne vs. New York Jets -14.60% DVOA Rush Defense
The Jets are giving up 111.5 YPG on 4.1 per carry thus far this season.
Jaguars/Jets Bettting Stats:
Jaguars Against the spread: 6-8-0
Jaguars Over/Under: 8-6-0
Jets Against the spread: 8-6-0
Jets Over/Under: 5-9-0
The best bet is New York Jets -2 and Under 37.