Saints vs. Packers: Week 3 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 22 September 2023

The 1-1-0 Green Bay Packers host the 2-0-0 New Orleans Saints at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin. The Green Bay Packers have a point spread of -1 with a money line of -110. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 42½ points.

&The Green Bay Packers are coached by Matt LaFleur who has been with the team since 2019. They have a current season record of 1-1-0 after going 8-9 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense andMatt LaFleur is no different.

The Green Bay Packers are coached by Matt LaFleur who has been with the team since 2019. They have a current season record of 1-1-0 after going 8-9 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense andMatt LaFleur is no different.

Jordan Love is the quarterback for the Green Bay Packers. The 25-year-old Utah State alum entered the league in 2020 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 2 games and throw for 396 yards with a completion percentage of 55.8 percent. Jordan Love has thrown 6 touchdowns against 0 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 118.7.

His main target will be Christian Watson. The home crowd would love to see some fireworks from the 0-year-old target. He has made 0 receptions to date on 0 targets, a catch percentage of 0, for a total of 0 yards. Christian Watson is averaging 0 yards per catch with 0 touchdowns thus far. Jordan Love will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The Green Bay Packers running game is lead by the 29-year-old Aaron Jones. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 9 carries and rushed for 41 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 41 yards per game, a number that you know Matt LaFleur would love to see him exceed in this game. Aaron Jones has 1 touchdowns this season and 0 fumbles.

Their kicker is Anders Carlson who has made 2 of 2 field goals this season, a 1 field goal percentage, with a long of 52 yards. The Green Bay Packers fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit one if needed.

Overall, the Green Bay Packers offense ranks 6 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 0.192941471746887, per FootballOutsiders. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.833 with 5 Red Zone touchdowns in 6 attempts.

On the defensive end, the Green Bay Packers have a Defense DVOA of -0.059094291545992, ranking 11 in the league.

The New Orleans Saints are on the road for this one. Dennis Allen’s squad is 2-0-0 this season after going 7-10 last year. He has been at the helm since 2022 and is looking to grab a road win here. The New Orleans Saints have a betting line of -1 or you could bet them straight up at -110.

32-year-old Derek Carr will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2014 after playing his college days at Fresno State. Derek Carr has a quarterback rating of 80.2 on 1 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He’s started 2 games and thrown for 533, a completion percentage of 63.8.

The New Orleans Saints will look to get the running game going in this match-up and to do that they’ll need a big game from Kendre Miller. The 0-year-old back has rushed for 0 touchdowns thus far this season and he’ll look to take it to the house again against the Green Bay Packers. He’s taken the hand-off 0 times and added 0 yards for the offense. Kendre Miller is averaging 0 yards per game for the season and has lost the ball 0 times. A turnover on the road could be seen as unacceptable for Dennis Allen so he’ll need to protect the ball here.

On the passing front, Derek Carr will look to target Chris Olave against the Dennis Allen defense. Chris Olave has 0 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 21 times and made 14 catches for 198 yards. Chris Olave has a catch percentage of 0.667 and his yards per reception is 14.1.

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Blake Grupe to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 52 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Blake Grupe has made 5 field goals on 52 attempts, a field goal percentage of 1.

According to FootballOutsiders, the New Orleans Saints offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -0.0395093312369253 which ranks at number 21 out of thirty two teams. If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 3 Red Zone touchdowns on 8 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.375.

Key Match-ups:

  • Jordan Love QB Rating of 118.7 vs. New Orleans Saints Defensive Passing YPG of 160
    New Orleans Saints have 7 interceptions this year and 7 sacks. They are allowing 20.2941176470588 points per game.
  • Aaron Jones vs. New Orleans Saints number 4 ranked DVOA Defense
    Opponents are averaging 4.5 yards per carry against New Orleans Saints and 130.470588235294 per game.
  • Derek Carr QB Rating of 80.2 vs. Green Bay Packers Pass Defense
  • The Green Bay Packers defense has allowed 21.8235294117647 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 5 times and picked him off 17 times.
  • Kendre Miller vs. Green Bay Packers Defense
    Green Bay Packers is giving up 139.529411764706 yards per game on 5 per carry thus far this season.