Steelers vs. Raiders: Week 3 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 22 September 2023

The 1-1-0 Las Vegas Raiders host the 1-1-0 Pittsburgh Steelers at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada. The Las Vegas Raiders have a point spread of -2½ with a money line of -120. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 43 points.

&The Las Vegas Raiders are coached by Josh McDaniels who has been with the team since 2022. They have a current season record of 1-1-0 after going 6-11 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense andJosh McDaniels is no different.

The Las Vegas Raiders are coached by Josh McDaniels who has been with the team since 2022. They have a current season record of 1-1-0 after going 6-11 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense andJosh McDaniels is no different.

Jimmy Garoppolo is the quarterback for the Las Vegas Raiders. The 32-year-old Eastern Illinois alum entered the league in 2014 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 2 games and throw for 385 yards with a completion percentage of 72 percent. Jimmy Garoppolo has thrown 3 touchdowns against 3 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 89.2.

His main target will be Davante Adams. The home crowd would love to see some fireworks from the 31-year-old target. He has made 12 receptions to date on 17 targets, a catch percentage of 0.706, for a total of 150 yards. Davante Adams is averaging 12.5 yards per catch with 1 touchdowns thus far. Jimmy Garoppolo will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The Las Vegas Raiders running game is lead by the 25-year-old Josh Jacobs. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 28 carries and rushed for 46 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 23 yards per game, a number that you know Josh McDaniels would love to see him exceed in this game. Josh Jacobs has 0 touchdowns this season and 0 fumbles.

Their kicker is Daniel Carlson who has made 2 of 2 field goals this season, a 1 field goal percentage, with a long of 47 yards. The Las Vegas Raiders fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit one if needed.

Overall, the Las Vegas Raiders offense ranks 24 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -0.126029613073589, per FootballOutsiders. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.5 with 3 Red Zone touchdowns in 6 attempts.

On the defensive end, the Las Vegas Raiders have a Defense DVOA of 0.222500588900609, ranking 31 in the league.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are on the road for this one. Mike Tomlin’s squad is 1-1-0 this season after going 9-8 last year. He has been at the helm since 2007 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Pittsburgh Steelers have a betting line of -2½ or you could bet them straight up at -120.

25-year-old Kenny Pickett will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2022 after playing his college days at Pitt. Kenny Pickett has a quarterback rating of 69.7 on 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He’s started 2 games and thrown for 454, a completion percentage of 60.5.

The Pittsburgh Steelers will look to get the running game going in this match-up and to do that they’ll need a big game from Najee Harris. The 25-year-old back has rushed for 0 touchdowns thus far this season and he’ll look to take it to the house again against the Las Vegas Raiders. He’s taken the hand-off 16 times and added 74 yards for the offense. Najee Harris is averaging 37 yards per game for the season and has lost the ball 0 times. A turnover on the road could be seen as unacceptable for Mike Tomlin so he’ll need to protect the ball here.

On the passing front, Kenny Pickett will look to target Diontae Johnson against the Mike Tomlin defense. Diontae Johnson has 0 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 6 times and made 3 catches for 48 yards. Diontae Johnson has a catch percentage of 0.5 and his yards per reception is 16.

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Chris Boswell to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 52 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Chris Boswell has made 2 field goals on 52 attempts, a field goal percentage of 1.

According to FootballOutsiders, the Pittsburgh Steelers offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -0.421805743723889 which ranks at number 32 out of thirty two teams. If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 1 Red Zone touchdowns on 2 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.5.

Key Match-ups:

  • Jimmy Garoppolo QB Rating of 89.2 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Defensive Passing YPG of 206.5
    Pittsburgh Steelers have 20 interceptions this year and 9 sacks. They are allowing 20.3529411764706 points per game.
  • Josh Jacobs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers number 12 ranked DVOA Defense
    Opponents are averaging 4.2 yards per carry against Pittsburgh Steelers and 108.117647058824 per game.
  • Kenny Pickett QB Rating of 69.7 vs. Las Vegas Raiders Pass Defense
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed 24.5882352941177 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 4 times and picked him off 6 times.
  • Najee Harris vs. Las Vegas Raiders Defense
    Las Vegas Raiders is giving up 122.764705882353 yards per game on 4.5 per carry thus far this season.