Colts vs. Ravens: Week 3 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 22 September 2023

The 2-0-0 Baltimore Ravens host the 1-1-0 Indianapolis Colts at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland. The Baltimore Ravens have a point spread of -8 with a money line of -110. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 44 points.

&The Baltimore Ravens are coached by John Harbaugh who has been with the team since 2008. They have a current season record of 2-0-0 after going 10-7 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense andJohn Harbaugh is no different.

The Baltimore Ravens are coached by John Harbaugh who has been with the team since 2008. They have a current season record of 2-0-0 after going 10-7 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense andJohn Harbaugh is no different.

Lamar Jackson is the quarterback for the Baltimore Ravens. The 26-year-old Louisville alum entered the league in 2018 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 2 games and throw for 406 yards with a completion percentage of 74.5 percent. Lamar Jackson has thrown 2 touchdowns against 1 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 99.5.

His main target will be Mark Andrews. The home crowd would love to see some fireworks from the 28-year-old target. He has made 5 receptions to date on 8 targets, a catch percentage of 0.625, for a total of 45 yards. Mark Andrews is averaging 9 yards per catch with 1 touchdowns thus far. Lamar Jackson will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The Baltimore Ravens running game is lead by the 25-year-old J.K. Dobbins. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 8 carries and rushed for 22 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 22 yards per game, a number that you know John Harbaugh would love to see him exceed in this game. J.K. Dobbins has 1 touchdowns this season and 0 fumbles.

Their kicker is Justin Tucker who has made 3 of 4 field goals this season, a 0.75 field goal percentage, with a long of 44 yards. The Baltimore Ravens fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit one if needed.

Overall, the Baltimore Ravens offense ranks 4 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 0.204218889516162, per FootballOutsiders. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.667 with 6 Red Zone touchdowns in 9 attempts.

On the defensive end, the Baltimore Ravens have a Defense DVOA of -0.198074623832331, ranking 5 in the league.

The Indianapolis Colts are on the road for this one. Shane Steichen’s squad is 1-1-0 this season after going 4-12-1 last year. He has been at the helm since 2023 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Indianapolis Colts have a betting line of -8 or you could bet them straight up at -110.

21-year-old Anthony Richardson will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2023 after playing his college days at Florida. Anthony Richardson has a quarterback rating of 78.2 on 1 touchdowns and 1 interceptions. He’s started 2 games and thrown for 279, a completion percentage of 63.8.

The Indianapolis Colts will look to get the running game going in this match-up and to do that they’ll need a big game from Deon Jackson. The 24-year-old back has rushed for 0 touchdowns thus far this season and he’ll look to take it to the house again against the Baltimore Ravens. He’s taken the hand-off 13 times and added 14 yards for the offense. Deon Jackson is averaging 7 yards per game for the season and has lost the ball 2 times. A turnover on the road could be seen as unacceptable for Shane Steichen so he’ll need to protect the ball here.

On the passing front, Anthony Richardson will look to target Michael Pittman Jr. against the Shane Steichen defense. Michael Pittman Jr. has 1 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 23 times and made 16 catches for 153 yards. Michael Pittman Jr. has a catch percentage of 0.696 and his yards per reception is 9.6.

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Matt Gay to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 42 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Matt Gay has made 1 field goals on 42 attempts, a field goal percentage of 1.

According to FootballOutsiders, the Indianapolis Colts offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -0.0102491711716857 which ranks at number 18 out of thirty two teams. If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 5 Red Zone touchdowns on 7 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.714.

Key Match-ups:

  • Lamar Jackson QB Rating of 99.5 vs. Indianapolis Colts Defensive Passing YPG of 287
    Indianapolis Colts have 10 interceptions this year and 8 sacks. They are allowing 25.1176470588235 points per game.
  • J.K. Dobbins vs. Indianapolis Colts number 9 ranked DVOA Defense
    Opponents are averaging 4.1 yards per carry against Indianapolis Colts and 124.058823529412 per game.
  • Anthony Richardson QB Rating of 78.2 vs. Baltimore Ravens Pass Defense
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed 18.5294117647059 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 6 times and picked him off 14 times.
  • Deon Jackson vs. Baltimore Ravens Defense
    Baltimore Ravens is giving up 92.1176470588235 yards per game on 3.9 per carry thus far this season.