Lions vs. Chiefs: Week 1 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 7 September 2023

The 0-0 Kansas City Chiefs host the 0-0 Detroit Lions at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. The Kansas City Chiefs have a point spread of -4½ with a money line of -110. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 54 points.

&The Kansas City Chiefs are coached by Andy Reid who had been with the team since 2013. They have a current season record of 0-0 after going 14-3 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense and Andy Reid is no different.

The Kansas City Chiefs are coached by Andy Reid who had been with the team since 2013. They have a current season record of 0-0 after going 14-3 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense and Andy Reid is no different.

Patrick Mahomes is the quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs. The 27-year-old Texas Tech alum entered the league in 2017 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Last season he had started 17 games and throw for 5250 yards with a completion percentage of 67.1 percent. Patrick Mahomes had thrown 41 touchdowns against 12 interceptions and had a QB Rating of 105.2.

His main target will be Travis Kelce. The home crowd would love to see some fireworks from the 33-year-old target. He had made 110 receptions to date on 152 targets, a catch percentage of 0.724, for a total of 1338 yards. Travis Kelce is averaged 12.2 yards per catch with 12 touchdowns thus far. Patrick Mahomes will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The Kansas City Chiefs running game is lead by the 23-year-old Isiah Pacheco. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 170 carries and rushed for 830 yards Last season. His yards per game currently sits at 48.8 yards per game, a number that you know Andy Reid would love to see him exceed in this game. Isiah Pacheco had 5 touchdowns last season and 4 fumbles.

Their kicker is Harrison Butker who had made 18 of 24 field goals last season, a 0.75 field goal percentage, with a long of 62 yards. The Kansas City Chiefs fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit one if needed.

Overall, the Kansas City Chiefs offense ranks 1 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 0.17, per FootballOutsiders. last season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.694 with 50 Red Zone touchdowns in 72 attempts.

On the defensive end, the Kansas City Chiefs have a Defense DVOA of 0.041, ranking 29 in the league.

The Detroit Lions are on the road for this one. Dan Campbell’s squad is 0-0 this season after going 9-8 last year. He had been at the helm since 2021 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Detroit Lions have a betting line of -4½ or you could bet them straight up at -110.

28-year-old Jared Goff will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2016 after playing his college days at California. Jared Goff had a quarterback rating of 99.3 on 29 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. He’s started 17 games and thrown for 4438, a completion percentage of 65.1.

The Detroit Lions will look to get the running game going in this match-up and to do that they’ll need a big game from David Montgomery. The 25-year-old back had rushed for 5 touchdowns Last season and he’ll look to take it to the house again against the Kansas City Chiefs. He’s taken the hand-off 201 times and added 801 yards for the offense. David Montgomery is averaged 50.1 yards per game for the season and had lost the ball 2 times. A turnover on the road could be seen as unacceptable for Dan Campbell so he’ll need to protect the ball here.

On the passing front, Jared Goff will look to target Amon-Ra St. Brown against the Dan Campbell defense. Amon-Ra St. Brown had 6 touchdowns Last season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 146 times and made 106 catches for 1161 yards. Amon-Ra St. Brown had a catch percentage of 0.726 and his yards per reception is 11.

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Riley Patterson to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 53 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Riley Patterson had made 30 field goals on 53 attempts, a field goal percentage of 0.857.

According to FootballOutsiders, the Detroit Lions offense had a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of 0.038 which ranks at number 13 out of thirty two teams. If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 45 Red Zone touchdowns on 68 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.662.

Key Match-ups:

  • Patrick Mahomes QB Rating of 105.2 vs. Detroit Lions Defensive Passing YPG of 245.8
    Detroit Lions have 12 interceptions this year and 39 sacks. They are allowing 25.1176470588235 points per game.
  • Isiah Pacheco vs. Detroit Lions number 14 ranked DVOA Defense
    Opponents are averaged 5.2 yards per carry against Detroit Lions and 146.529411764706 per game.
  • Jared Goff QB Rating of 99.3 vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pass Defense
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defense had allowed 21.7058823529412 points per game Last season. They have sacked the quarterback 55 times and picked him off 11 times.
  • David Montgomery vs. Kansas City Chiefs Defense
    Kansas City Chiefs is giving up 107.235294117647 yards per game on 4.4 per carry Last season.