Texans vs. Jaguars: Week 3 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 22 September 2023

The 1-1-0 Jacksonville Jaguars host the 0-2-0 Houston Texans at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Florida. The Jacksonville Jaguars have a point spread of -8 with a money line of -110. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 44½ points.

&The Jacksonville Jaguars are coached by Doug Pederson who has been with the team since 2022. They have a current season record of 1-1-0 after going 9-8 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense andDoug Pederson is no different.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are coached by Doug Pederson who has been with the team since 2022. They have a current season record of 1-1-0 after going 9-8 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense andDoug Pederson is no different.

Trevor Lawrence is the quarterback for the Jacksonville Jaguars. The 24-year-old Clemson alum entered the league in 2021 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 2 games and throw for 457 yards with a completion percentage of 63 percent. Trevor Lawrence has thrown 2 touchdowns against 1 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 84.1.

His main target will be Calvin Ridley. The home crowd would love to see some fireworks from the 29-year-old target. He has made 10 receptions to date on 19 targets, a catch percentage of 0.526, for a total of 133 yards. Calvin Ridley is averaging 13.3 yards per catch with 1 touchdowns thus far. Trevor Lawrence will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The Jacksonville Jaguars running game is lead by the 24-year-old Travis Etienne. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 30 carries and rushed for 117 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 58.5 yards per game, a number that you know Doug Pederson would love to see him exceed in this game. Travis Etienne has 1 touchdowns this season and 0 fumbles.

Their kicker is Brandon McManus who has made 4 of 4 field goals this season, a 1 field goal percentage, with a long of 49 yards. The Jacksonville Jaguars fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit one if needed.

Overall, the Jacksonville Jaguars offense ranks 23 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -0.10628416280579, per FootballOutsiders. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.5 with 3 Red Zone touchdowns in 6 attempts.

On the defensive end, the Jacksonville Jaguars have a Defense DVOA of -0.113362911687743, ranking 8 in the league.

The Houston Texans are on the road for this one. DeMeco Ryans’s squad is 0-2-0 this season after going 3-13-1 last year. He has been at the helm since 2023 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Houston Texans have a betting line of -8 or you could bet them straight up at -110.

22-year-old C.J. Stroud will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2023 after playing his college days at Ohio State. C.J. Stroud has a quarterback rating of 91.2 on 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. He’s started 2 games and thrown for 626, a completion percentage of 63.7.

The Houston Texans will look to get the running game going in this match-up and to do that they’ll need a big game from Dameon Pierce. The 23-year-old back has rushed for 0 touchdowns thus far this season and he’ll look to take it to the house again against the Jacksonville Jaguars. He’s taken the hand-off 26 times and added 69 yards for the offense. Dameon Pierce is averaging 34.5 yards per game for the season and has lost the ball 0 times. A turnover on the road could be seen as unacceptable for DeMeco Ryans so he’ll need to protect the ball here.

On the passing front, C.J. Stroud will look to target Nico Collins against the DeMeco Ryans defense. Nico Collins has 1 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 20 times and made 13 catches for 226 yards. Nico Collins has a catch percentage of 0.65 and his yards per reception is 17.4.

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Ka’imi Fairbairn to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 38 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Ka’imi Fairbairn has made 5 field goals on 38 attempts, a field goal percentage of 0.833.

According to FootballOutsiders, the Houston Texans offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -0.215296619056423 which ranks at number 27 out of thirty two teams. If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 1 Red Zone touchdowns on 6 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.167.

Key Match-ups:

  • Trevor Lawrence QB Rating of 84.1 vs. Houston Texans Defensive Passing YPG of 191
    Houston Texans have 16 interceptions this year and 4 sacks. They are allowing 24.7058823529412 points per game.
  • Travis Etienne vs. Houston Texans number 25 ranked DVOA Defense
    Opponents are averaging 5.1 yards per carry against Houston Texans and 170.235294117647 per game.
  • C.J. Stroud QB Rating of 91.2 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Pass Defense
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed 20.5882352941177 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 5 times and picked him off 14 times.
  • Dameon Pierce vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Defense
    Jacksonville Jaguars is giving up 114.764705882353 yards per game on 4.2 per carry thus far this season.