Patriots vs. Jets: Week 3 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 22 September 2023

The 1-1-0 New York Jets host the 0-2-0 New England Patriots at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The New York Jets have a point spread of +2½ with a money line of -105. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 36 points.

&The New York Jets are coached by Robert Saleh who has been with the team since 2021. They have a current season record of 1-1-0 after going 7-10 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense andRobert Saleh is no different.

The New York Jets are coached by Robert Saleh who has been with the team since 2021. They have a current season record of 1-1-0 after going 7-10 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense andRobert Saleh is no different.

Aaron Rodgers is the quarterback for the New York Jets. The 40-year-old California alum entered the league in 2005 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 1 games and throw for 0 yards with a completion percentage of 0 percent. Aaron Rodgers has thrown 0 touchdowns against 0 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 39.6.

His main target will be Garrett Wilson. The home crowd would love to see some fireworks from the 23-year-old target. He has made 7 receptions to date on 13 targets, a catch percentage of 0.538, for a total of 117 yards. Garrett Wilson is averaging 16.7 yards per catch with 2 touchdowns thus far. Aaron Rodgers will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The New York Jets running game is lead by the 28-year-old Dalvin Cook. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 17 carries and rushed for 40 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 20 yards per game, a number that you know Robert Saleh would love to see him exceed in this game. Dalvin Cook has 0 touchdowns this season and 1 fumbles.

Their kicker is Greg Zuerlein who has made 3 of 3 field goals this season, a 1 field goal percentage, with a long of 43 yards. The New York Jets fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit one if needed.

Overall, the New York Jets offense ranks 31 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -0.410978255036087, per FootballOutsiders. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.25 with 1 Red Zone touchdowns in 4 attempts.

On the defensive end, the New York Jets have a Defense DVOA of -0.0408978205418377, ranking 13 in the league.

The New England Patriots are on the road for this one. Bill Belichick’s squad is 0-2-0 this season after going 8-9 last year. He has been at the helm since 2000 and is looking to grab a road win here. The New England Patriots have a betting line of +2½ or you could bet them straight up at -105.

25-year-old Mac Jones will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2021 after playing his college days at Alabama. Mac Jones has a quarterback rating of 88.3 on 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He’s started 2 games and thrown for 547, a completion percentage of 68.8.

The New England Patriots will look to get the running game going in this match-up and to do that they’ll need a big game from Rhamondre Stevenson. The 25-year-old back has rushed for 1 touchdowns thus far this season and he’ll look to take it to the house again against the New York Jets. He’s taken the hand-off 27 times and added 75 yards for the offense. Rhamondre Stevenson is averaging 37.5 yards per game for the season and has lost the ball 0 times. A turnover on the road could be seen as unacceptable for Bill Belichick so he’ll need to protect the ball here.

On the passing front, Mac Jones will look to target Jakobi Meyers against the Bill Belichick defense. Jakobi Meyers has 2 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 10 times and made 9 catches for 81 yards. Jakobi Meyers has a catch percentage of 0.9 and his yards per reception is 9.

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Nick Folk to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 50 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Nick Folk has made 7 field goals on 50 attempts, a field goal percentage of 1.

According to FootballOutsiders, the New England Patriots offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of 0.0147187133987198 which ranks at number 17 out of thirty two teams. If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 5 Red Zone touchdowns on 7 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.714.

Key Match-ups:

  • Aaron Rodgers QB Rating of 39.6 vs. New England Patriots Defensive Passing YPG of 199
    New England Patriots have 19 interceptions this year and 4 sacks. They are allowing 20.4117647058824 points per game.
  • Dalvin Cook vs. New England Patriots number 24 ranked DVOA Defense
    Opponents are averaging 4.1 yards per carry against New England Patriots and 105.470588235294 per game.
  • Mac Jones QB Rating of 88.3 vs. New York Jets Pass Defense
  • The New York Jets defense has allowed 18.5882352941177 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 6 times and picked him off 12 times.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson vs. New York Jets Defense
    New York Jets is giving up 121.647058823529 yards per game on 4.2 per carry thus far this season.