The 3-8-0 Los Angeles Rams host the 6-5-0 Seattle Seahawks at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. The Rams have a point spread of 7 with a money line of 280. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 41 points.
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Seattle Seahawks (-7)Record: 6-5-0 |
Los Angeles Rams (7)Record: 3-8-0 |
Los Angeles Rams Offense:
The Rams are coached by Sean McVay who has been with the team since 2017. They have a current season record of 3-8-0 after going 12-5 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Sean McVay is no different.
Matthew Stafford is the quarterback for the Rams. The 34-year-old Georgia alum entered the league in 2009 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 9 games and thrown for 2087 yards with a completion percentage of 68.0 percent. Matthew Stafford has thrown 10 touchdowns despite 8 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 87.4.
His main target will be Van Jefferson. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 26-year-old target. He has made 9 receptions to date on 20 targets, a catch percentage of 45.0%, for a total of 97 yards. Van Jefferson is averaging 10.8 yards per catch with 2 touchdowns thus far. Matthew Stafford will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Rams running game is lead by the 22-year-old Kyren Williams. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 19 carries and rushed for 80 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 20 YPG, a number that you know Sean McVay would love to see him exceed in this game. Kyren Williams has 0 touchdowns this season and 0 fumbles.
Overall, the Los Angeles Rams offense ranks 27 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -14.2%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 26 with a Passing DVOA of -10.6%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of -3.7%, ranking #25 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.517 with 15 Red Zone touchdowns in 29 attempts.
Los Angeles Rams Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Rams have a Defense DVOA of 0.6%, ranking 16 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #16 at 0.8% and they’ll need them to show up against Geno Smith. The Sean McVay-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of 0.8%, #26 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Matt Gay who has made 15 of 16 field goals this season, a 93.8% field goal percentage, with a long of 58 yards. The Los Angeles Rams fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
Seattle Seahawks Offense:
The Seahawks are on the road for this one. Pete Carroll’s squad is 6-5-0 this season after going 7-10 last year. He has been at the helm since 2010 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Seattle Seahawks have a betting line of -7 or you could bet them straight up at -350.
32-year-old Geno Smith will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2013 after playing his college days at West Virginia. Geno Smith has a quarterback rating of 107.9 on 19 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. He’s started 11 games and thrown for 2802yards, a completion percentage of 72.8.
Kenneth Walker III is the lead back for the Seahawks running game. The 22-year-old has taken 135 carries and rushed for 613 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 61.3 YPG and he has scored 9 touchdowns with 0 fumbles.
On the passing front, Geno Smith will look to target D.K. Metcalf against the Pete Carroll defense. D.K. Metcalf has 4 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 92 times and made 59 catches for 671 yards. D.K. Metcalf has a catch percentage of 64.1% and his yards per reception is 11.4.
According to FootballOutsiders, the Seattle Seahawks offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of 8.6% which ranks at number 8 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is 4.3%, the number 13 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 4 with a Rush DVOA total of 29.4%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 18 Red Zone touchdowns on 36 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.5.
Seattle Seahawks Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Jason Myers to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 56 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Jason Myers has made 21 field goals on 56 attempts, a field goal percentage of 95.5%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Seahawks with a Defensive DVOA of 4.2% which ranks at 19/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #16 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of 0.8%. Comparatively, the run defense has a 1.9% DVOA which ranks at #26.
Key Match-ups:
- Matthew Stafford QB Rating of 87.4 vs. Seattle Seahawks Pass DVOA Defense of 4.3%
The Seahawks have 9 interceptions this year and 28 sacks. They are allowing 25.5 points per game. - Kyren Williams vs. Seattle Seahawks number 4 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 4.9 yards per carry against the the Seattle Seahawks and 153.8 per game. - Geno Smith QB Rating of 107.9 vs. Los Angeles Rams #16 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Rams defense has allowed 23 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 22 times and picked him off 6 times. - Kenneth Walker III vs. Los Angeles Rams 13.4% DVOA Rush Defense
The Rams are giving up 97.3 YPG on 3.9 per carry thus far this season.
Seahawks/Rams Bettting Stats:
Seahawks Against the spread: 6-5-0
Seahawks Over/Under: 6-5-0
Rams Against the spread: 3-7-1
Rams Over/Under: 4-7-0
The best bet is Seattle Seahawks -7 and Under 41.