The 7-3-0 Dallas Cowboys host the 7-3-0 New York Giants at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Cowboys have a point spread of -10.0 with a money line of -470. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 45.5 points.
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New York Giants (+10.0)Record: 7-3-0 |
Dallas Cowboys (-10.0)Record: 7-3-0 |
Dallas Cowboys Offense:
The Cowboys are coached by Mike McCarthy who has been with the team since 2020. They have a current season record of 7-3-0 after going 12-5 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Mike McCarthy is no different.
Dak Prescott is the quarterback for the Cowboys. The 29-year-old Mississippi State alum entered the league in 2016 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 5 games and thrown for 1132 yards with a completion percentage of 67.8 percent. Dak Prescott has thrown 8 touchdowns despite 4 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 96.2.
His main target will be CeeDee Lamb. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 23-year-old target. He has made 58 receptions to date on 93 targets, a catch percentage of 62.4%, for a total of 751 yards. CeeDee Lamb is averaging 12.9 yards per catch with 5 touchdowns thus far. Dak Prescott will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Cowboys running game is lead by the 27-year-old Ezekiel Elliott. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 124 carries and rushed for 485 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 60.6 YPG, a number that you know Mike McCarthy would love to see him exceed in this game. Ezekiel Elliott has 6 touchdowns this season and 0 fumbles.
Overall, the Dallas Cowboys offense ranks 14 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 5.5%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 11 with a Passing DVOA of 5.5%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of 10.9%, ranking #17 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.655 with 19 Red Zone touchdowns in 29 attempts.
Dallas Cowboys Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Cowboys have a Defense DVOA of -18.4%, ranking 2 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #2 at -14.4% and they’ll need them to show up against Daniel Jones. The Mike McCarthy-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of -14.4%, #2 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Brett Maher who has made 19 of 21 field goals this season, a 90.5% field goal percentage, with a long of 60 yards. The Dallas Cowboys fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
New York Giants Offense:
The Giants are on the road for this one. Brian Daboll’s squad is 7-3-0 this season after going 4-13 last year. He has been at the helm since 2022 and is looking to grab a road win here. The New York Giants have a betting line of +10.0 or you could bet them straight up at +380.
25-year-old Daniel Jones will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2019 after playing his college days at Duke. Daniel Jones has a quarterback rating of 89.8 on 9 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. He’s started 10 games and thrown for 1937yards, a completion percentage of 65.1.
Saquon Barkley is the lead back for the Giants running game. The 25-year-old has taken 213 carries and rushed for 953 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 95.3 YPG and he has scored 6 touchdowns with 1 fumbles.
On the passing front, Daniel Jones will look to target Darius Slayton against the Brian Daboll defense. Darius Slayton has 2 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 38 times and made 24 catches for 413 yards. Darius Slayton has a catch percentage of 63.2% and his yards per reception is 17.2.
According to FootballOutsiders, the New York Giants offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of 3.0% which ranks at number 16 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is 0.8%, the number 17 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 14 with a Rush DVOA total of 16.1%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 17 Red Zone touchdowns on 29 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.586.
New York Giants Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Graham Gano to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 56 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Graham Gano has made 18 field goals on 56 attempts, a field goal percentage of 90.0%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Giants with a Defensive DVOA of 10.0% which ranks at 27/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #2 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of -14.4%. Comparatively, the run defense has a 9.2% DVOA which ranks at #2.
Key Match-ups:
- Dak Prescott QB Rating of 96.2 vs. New York Giants Pass DVOA Defense of 0.8%
The Giants have 2 interceptions this year and 20 sacks. They are allowing 20.4 points per game. - Ezekiel Elliott vs. New York Giants number 14 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 5.3 yards per carry against the the New York Giants and 135.9 per game. - Daniel Jones QB Rating of 89.8 vs. Dallas Cowboys #2 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Cowboys defense has allowed 16.7 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 42 times and picked him off 7 times. - Saquon Barkley vs. Dallas Cowboys -24.1% DVOA Rush Defense
The Cowboys are giving up 136.1 YPG on 4.7 per carry thus far this season.
Giants/Cowboys Bettting Stats:
Giants Against the spread: 6-2-0
Giants Over/Under: 2-6-0
Cowboys Against the spread: 6-2-0
Cowboys Over/Under: 3-5-0
The best bet is Dallas Cowboys -10.0 and Under 45.5.