The 3-5-0 Arizona Cardinals host the 5-3-0 Seattle Seahawks at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. The Cardinals have a point spread of -2 with a money line of -135. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 50.5 points.
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Seattle Seahawks (+2)Record: 5-3-0 |
Arizona Cardinals (-2)Record: 3-5-0 |
Arizona Cardinals Offense:
The Cardinals are coached by Kliff Kingsbury who has been with the team since 2019. They have a current season record of 3-5-0 after going 11-6 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Kliff Kingsbury is no different.
Kyler Murray is the quarterback for the Cardinals. The 25-year-old Oklahoma alum entered the league in 2019 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 8 games and thrown for 1993 yards with a completion percentage of 66.2 percent. Kyler Murray has thrown 10 touchdowns despite 6 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 85.3.
His main target will be Marquise Brown. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 25-year-old target. He has made 43 receptions to date on 64 targets, a catch percentage of 67.2%, for a total of 485 yards. Marquise Brown is averaging 11.3 yards per catch with 3 touchdowns thus far. Kyler Murray will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Cardinals running game is lead by the 27-year-old James Conner. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 54 carries and rushed for 200 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 40 YPG, a number that you know Kliff Kingsbury would love to see him exceed in this game. James Conner has 1 touchdowns this season and 1 fumbles.
Overall, the Arizona Cardinals offense ranks 26 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -11.8%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 25 with a Passing DVOA of -6.4%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of -5.6%, ranking #27 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.56 with 14 Red Zone touchdowns in 25 attempts.
Arizona Cardinals Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Cardinals have a Defense DVOA of 3.9%, ranking 19 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #21 at 2.6% and they’ll need them to show up against Geno Smith. The Kliff Kingsbury-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of 2.6%, #23 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Matt Prater who has made 8 of 8 field goals this season, a 100.0% field goal percentage, with a long of 49 yards. The Arizona Cardinals fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
Seattle Seahawks Offense:
The Seahawks are on the road for this one. Pete Carroll’s squad is 5-3-0 this season after going 7-10 last year. He has been at the helm since 2010 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Seattle Seahawks have a betting line of +2 or you could bet them straight up at +115.
32-year-old Geno Smith will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2013 after playing his college days at West Virginia. Geno Smith has a quarterback rating of 107.2 on 13 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He’s started 8 games and thrown for 1924yards, a completion percentage of 72.7.
Kenneth Walker III is the lead back for the Seahawks running game. The 22-year-old has taken 85 carries and rushed for 461 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 65.9 YPG and he has scored 5 touchdowns with 0 fumbles.
On the passing front, Geno Smith will look to target D.K. Metcalf against the Pete Carroll defense. D.K. Metcalf has 3 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 62 times and made 37 catches for 473 yards. D.K. Metcalf has a catch percentage of 59.7% and his yards per reception is 12.8.
According to FootballOutsiders, the Seattle Seahawks offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of 12.1% which ranks at number 7 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is 2.5%, the number 16 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 5 with a Rush DVOA total of 31.0%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 10 Red Zone touchdowns on 25 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.4.
Seattle Seahawks Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Jason Myers to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 56 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Jason Myers has made 17 field goals on 56 attempts, a field goal percentage of 94.4%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Seahawks with a Defensive DVOA of -2.6% which ranks at 11/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #21 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of 2.6%. Comparatively, the run defense has a -1.7% DVOA which ranks at #23.
Key Match-ups:
- Kyler Murray QB Rating of 85.3 vs. Seattle Seahawks Pass DVOA Defense of 2.5%
The Seahawks have 5 interceptions this year and 22 sacks. They are allowing 24.9 points per game. - James Conner vs. Seattle Seahawks number 5 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 4.7 yards per carry against the the Seattle Seahawks and 140.8 per game. - Geno Smith QB Rating of 107.2 vs. Arizona Cardinals #21 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Cardinals defense has allowed 26.3 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 14 times and picked him off 5 times. - Kenneth Walker III vs. Arizona Cardinals 11.8% DVOA Rush Defense
The Cardinals are giving up 110.1 YPG on 4.5 per carry thus far this season.
Seahawks/Cardinals Bettting Stats:
Seahawks Against the spread: 5-3-0
Seahawks Over/Under: 4-4-0
Cardinals Against the spread: 4-4-0
Cardinals Over/Under: 3-4-1
The best bet is Seattle Seahawks +2 and Under 50.5.