The 2-6-0 Jacksonville Jaguars host the 2-5-0 Las Vegas Raiders at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Florida. The Jaguars have a point spread of +2 with a money line of +107. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 48 points.
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Las Vegas Raiders (-2)Record: 2-5-0 |
Jacksonville Jaguars (+2)Record: 2-6-0 |
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense:
The Jaguars are coached by Doug Pederson who has been with the team since 2022. They have a current season record of 2-6-0 after going 3-14 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Doug Pederson is no different.
Trevor Lawrence is the quarterback for the Jaguars. The 23-year-old Clemson alum entered the league in 2021 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 8 games and thrown for 1840 yards with a completion percentage of 62.5 percent. Trevor Lawrence has thrown 10 touchdowns despite 6 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 84.8.
His main target will be Christian Kirk. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 26-year-old target. He has made 35 receptions to date on 61 targets, a catch percentage of 57.4%, for a total of 498 yards. Christian Kirk is averaging 14.2 yards per catch with 4 touchdowns thus far. Trevor Lawrence will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Jaguars running game is lead by the 23-year-old Travis Etienne. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 92 carries and rushed for 571 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 71.4 YPG, a number that you know Doug Pederson would love to see him exceed in this game. Travis Etienne has 2 touchdowns this season and 3 fumbles.
Overall, the Jacksonville Jaguars offense ranks 15 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 2.7%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 21 with a Passing DVOA of -1.4%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of 13.3%, ranking #15 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.5 with 15 Red Zone touchdowns in 30 attempts.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Jaguars have a Defense DVOA of 4.0%, ranking 20 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #24 at 3.5% and they’ll need them to show up against Derek Carr. The Doug Pederson-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of 3.5%, #21 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Riley Patterson who has made 11 of 12 field goals this season, a 91.7% field goal percentage, with a long of 52 yards. The Jacksonville Jaguars fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
Las Vegas Raiders Offense:
The Raiders are on the road for this one. Josh McDaniels’s squad is 2-5-0 this season after going 10-7 last year. He has been at the helm since 2022 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Las Vegas Raiders have a betting line of -2 or you could bet them straight up at -127.
31-year-old Derek Carr will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2014 after playing his college days at Fresno State. Derek Carr has a quarterback rating of 86.8 on 9 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. He’s started 7 games and thrown for 1621yards, a completion percentage of 62.9.
Josh Jacobs is the lead back for the Raiders running game. The 24-year-old has taken 121 carries and rushed for 676 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 96.6 YPG and he has scored 6 touchdowns with 1 fumbles.
On the passing front, Derek Carr will look to target Davante Adams against the Josh McDaniels defense. Davante Adams has 5 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 68 times and made 38 catches for 512 yards. Davante Adams has a catch percentage of 55.9% and his yards per reception is 13.5.
According to FootballOutsiders, the Las Vegas Raiders offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -2.0% which ranks at number 20 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is 2.6%, the number 15 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 22 with a Rush DVOA total of 0.0%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 12 Red Zone touchdowns on 23 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.522.
Las Vegas Raiders Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Daniel Carlson to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 55 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Daniel Carlson has made 16 field goals on 55 attempts, a field goal percentage of 100.0%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Raiders with a Defensive DVOA of 11.7% which ranks at 29/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #24 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of 3.5%. Comparatively, the run defense has a 6.2% DVOA which ranks at #21.
Key Match-ups:
- Trevor Lawrence QB Rating of 84.8 vs. Las Vegas Raiders Pass DVOA Defense of 2.6%
The Raiders have 3 interceptions this year and 9 sacks. They are allowing 24.9 points per game. - Travis Etienne vs. Las Vegas Raiders number 22 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 4.1 yards per carry against the the Las Vegas Raiders and 108.6 per game. - Derek Carr QB Rating of 86.8 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars #24 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Jaguars defense has allowed 19.8 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 14 times and picked him off 8 times. - Josh Jacobs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars 10.9% DVOA Rush Defense
The Jaguars are giving up 109.1 YPG on 4 per carry thus far this season.
Raiders/Jaguars Bettting Stats:
Raiders Against the spread: 3-4-0
Raiders Over/Under: 4-2-1
Jaguars Against the spread: 2-6-0
Jaguars Over/Under: 4-4-0
The best bet is Jacksonville Jaguars +2 and Under 48.