The 2-4-0 Denver Broncos host the 4-2-0 New York Jets at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Colorado. The Broncos have a point spread of pk with a money line of . The over/under total on the game is currently set at 38 points.
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New York Jets (pk)Record: 4-2-0 |
Denver Broncos (pk)Record: 2-4-0 |
Denver Broncos Offense:
The Broncos are coached by Nathaniel Hackett who has been with the team since 2022. They have a current season record of 2-4-0 after going 7-10 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Nathaniel Hackett is no different.
Russell Wilson is the quarterback for the Broncos. The 34-year-old Wisconsin alum entered the league in 2012 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 6 games and thrown for 1442 yards with a completion percentage of 58.6 percent. Russell Wilson has thrown 5 touchdowns despite 3 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 83.4.
His main target will be Courtland Sutton. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 27-year-old target. He has made 31 receptions to date on 49 targets, a catch percentage of 63.3%, for a total of 431 yards. Courtland Sutton is averaging 13.9 yards per catch with 1 touchdowns thus far. Russell Wilson will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Broncos running game is lead by the 29-year-old Melvin Gordon. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 55 carries and rushed for 201 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 33.5 YPG, a number that you know Nathaniel Hackett would love to see him exceed in this game. Melvin Gordon has 1 touchdowns this season and 4 fumbles.
Overall, the Denver Broncos offense ranks 27 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -14.6%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 23 with a Passing DVOA of -3.6%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of -0.1%, ranking #24 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.2 with 3 Red Zone touchdowns in 15 attempts.
Denver Broncos Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Broncos have a Defense DVOA of -19.0%, ranking 2 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #5 at -7.1% and they’ll need them to show up against Zach Wilson. The Nathaniel Hackett-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of -7.1%, #1 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Brandon McManus who has made 14 of 17 field goals this season, a 82.4% field goal percentage, with a long of 55 yards. The Denver Broncos fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
New York Jets Offense:
The Jets are on the road for this one. Robert Saleh’s squad is 4-2-0 this season after going 4-13 last year. He has been at the helm since 2021 and is looking to grab a road win here. The New York Jets have a betting line of pk or you could bet them straight up at .
23-year-old Zach Wilson will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2021 after playing his college days at BYU. Zach Wilson has a quarterback rating of 73.9 on 1 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He’s started 3 games and thrown for 572yards, a completion percentage of 56.
Breece Hall is the lead back for the Jets running game. The 21-year-old has taken 76 carries and rushed for 391 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 65.2 YPG and he has scored 3 touchdowns with 1 fumbles.
On the passing front, Zach Wilson will look to target Elijah Moore against the Robert Saleh defense. Elijah Moore has 0 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 29 times and made 16 catches for 203 yards. Elijah Moore has a catch percentage of 55.2% and his yards per reception is 12.7.
According to FootballOutsiders, the New York Jets offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -4.2% which ranks at number 23 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is -5.3%, the number 25 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 25 with a Rush DVOA total of -1.1%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 12 Red Zone touchdowns on 19 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.632.
New York Jets Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Greg Zuerlein to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 57 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Greg Zuerlein has made 10 field goals on 57 attempts, a field goal percentage of 83.3%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Jets with a Defensive DVOA of -0.2% which ranks at 12/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #5 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of -7.1%. Comparatively, the run defense has a -1.7% DVOA which ranks at #1.
Key Match-ups:
- Russell Wilson QB Rating of 83.4 vs. New York Jets Pass DVOA Defense of -5.3%
The Jets have 7 interceptions this year and 14 sacks. They are allowing 21.3 points per game. - Melvin Gordon vs. New York Jets number 25 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 3.9 yards per carry against the the New York Jets and 105.3 per game. - Zach Wilson QB Rating of 73.9 vs. Denver Broncos #5 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Broncos defense has allowed 16.5 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 19 times and picked him off 4 times. - Breece Hall vs. Denver Broncos -28.1% DVOA Rush Defense
The Broncos are giving up 105.8 YPG on 4.4 per carry thus far this season.
Jets/Broncos Bettting Stats:
Jets Against the spread: 4-2-0
Jets Over/Under: 3-3-0
Broncos Against the spread: 2-4-0
Broncos Over/Under: 1-5-0
The best bet is Denver Broncos pk and Under 38.