The 3-3-0 Baltimore Ravens host the 2-4-0 Cleveland Browns at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland. The Ravens have a point spread of -7 with a money line of -280. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 45.5 points.
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Cleveland Browns (+7)Record: 2-4-0 |
Baltimore Ravens (-7)Record: 3-3-0 |
Baltimore Ravens Offense:
The Ravens are coached by John Harbaugh who has been with the team since 2008. They have a current season record of 3-3-0 after going 8-9 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly John Harbaugh is no different.
Lamar Jackson is the quarterback for the Ravens. The 25-year-old Louisville alum entered the league in 2018 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 6 games and thrown for 1277 yards with a completion percentage of 61.9 percent. Lamar Jackson has thrown 13 touchdowns despite 6 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 93.2.
His main target will be Rashod Bateman. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 23-year-old target. He has made 11 receptions to date on 22 targets, a catch percentage of 50.0%, for a total of 243 yards. Rashod Bateman is averaging 22.1 yards per catch with 2 touchdowns thus far. Lamar Jackson will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Ravens running game is lead by the 28-year-old Kenyan Drake. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 31 carries and rushed for 184 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 46 YPG, a number that you know John Harbaugh would love to see him exceed in this game. Kenyan Drake has 1 touchdowns this season and 0 fumbles.
Overall, the Baltimore Ravens offense ranks 3 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 17.4%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 4 with a Passing DVOA of 9.7%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of 33.9%, ranking #4 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.6 with 12 Red Zone touchdowns in 20 attempts.
Baltimore Ravens Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Ravens have a Defense DVOA of 0.5%, ranking 16 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #14 at -1.1% and they’ll need them to show up against Jacoby Brissett. The John Harbaugh-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of -1.1%, #10 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Justin Tucker who has made 11 of 12 field goals this season, a 91.7% field goal percentage, with a long of 58 yards. The Baltimore Ravens fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
Cleveland Browns Offense:
The Browns are on the road for this one. Kevin Stefanski’s squad is 2-4-0 this season after going 8-9 last year. He has been at the helm since 2020 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Cleveland Browns have a betting line of +7 or you could bet them straight up at 235.
30-year-old Jacoby Brissett will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2016 after playing his college days at NC State. Jacoby Brissett has a quarterback rating of 78.7 on 6 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. He’s started 6 games and thrown for 1326yards, a completion percentage of 60.2.
Nick Chubb is the lead back for the Browns running game. The 27-year-old has taken 110 carries and rushed for 649 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 108.2 YPG and he has scored 7 touchdowns with 0 fumbles.
On the passing front, Jacoby Brissett will look to target Amari Cooper against the Kevin Stefanski defense. Amari Cooper has 4 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 55 times and made 31 catches for 348 yards. Amari Cooper has a catch percentage of 56.4% and his yards per reception is 11.2.
According to FootballOutsiders, the Cleveland Browns offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of 10.9% which ranks at number 8 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is 5.2%, the number 9 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 14 with a Rush DVOA total of 13.8%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 13 Red Zone touchdowns on 22 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.591.
Cleveland Browns Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Cade York to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 58 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Cade York has made 11 field goals on 58 attempts, a field goal percentage of 84.6%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Browns with a Defensive DVOA of 15.6% which ranks at 31/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #14 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of -1.1%. Comparatively, the run defense has a 6.4% DVOA which ranks at #10.
Key Match-ups:
- Lamar Jackson QB Rating of 93.2 vs. Cleveland Browns Pass DVOA Defense of 5.2%
The Browns have 2 interceptions this year and 11 sacks. They are allowing 27.2 points per game. - Kenyan Drake vs. Cleveland Browns number 14 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 5 yards per carry against the the Cleveland Browns and 131.5 per game. - Jacoby Brissett QB Rating of 78.7 vs. Baltimore Ravens #14 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Ravens defense has allowed 23.5 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 15 times and picked him off 8 times. - Nick Chubb vs. Baltimore Ravens 0.8% DVOA Rush Defense
The Ravens are giving up 103.8 YPG on 4.5 per carry thus far this season.
Browns/Ravens Bettting Stats:
Browns Against the spread: 2-4-0
Browns Over/Under: 5-1-0
Ravens Against the spread: 3-3-0
Ravens Over/Under: 2-4-0
The best bet is Baltimore Ravens -7 and Over 45.5.