The 5-0-0 Philadelphia Eagles host the 4-1-0 Dallas Cowboys at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Eagles have a point spread of -6 with a money line of -260. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 42 points.
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Dallas Cowboys (+6)Record: 4-1-0 |
Philadelphia Eagles (-6)Record: 5-0-0 |
Philadelphia Eagles Offense:
The Eagles are coached by Nick Sirianni who has been with the team since 2021. They have a current season record of 5-0-0 after going 9-8 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Nick Sirianni is no different.
Jalen Hurts is the quarterback for the Eagles. The 24-year-old Oklahoma alum entered the league in 2020 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 5 games and thrown for 1359 yards with a completion percentage of 67.9 percent. Jalen Hurts has thrown 4 touchdowns despite 2 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 97.4.
His main target will be A.J. Brown. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 25-year-old target. He has made 28 receptions to date on 45 targets, a catch percentage of 62.2%, for a total of 436 yards. A.J. Brown is averaging 15.6 yards per catch with 1 touchdowns thus far. Jalen Hurts will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Eagles running game is lead by the 25-year-old Miles Sanders. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 87 carries and rushed for 414 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 82.8 YPG, a number that you know Nick Sirianni would love to see him exceed in this game. Miles Sanders has 3 touchdowns this season and 0 fumbles.
Overall, the Philadelphia Eagles offense ranks 5 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 16.1%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 4 with a Passing DVOA of 10.4%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of 30.6%, ranking #7 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.619 with 13 Red Zone touchdowns in 21 attempts.
Philadelphia Eagles Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Eagles have a Defense DVOA of -18.7%, ranking 5 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #3 at -8.6% and they’ll need them to show up against Cooper Rush. The Nick Sirianni-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of -8.6%, #3 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Jake Elliott who has made 4 of 5 field goals this season, a 80.0% field goal percentage, with a long of 38 yards. The Philadelphia Eagles fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
Dallas Cowboys Offense:
The Cowboys are on the road for this one. Mike McCarthy’s squad is 4-1-0 this season after going 12-5 last year. He has been at the helm since 2020 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Dallas Cowboys have a betting line of +6 or you could bet them straight up at +220.
29-year-old Cooper Rush will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2017 after playing his college days at Central Michigan University. Cooper Rush has a quarterback rating of 93.9 on 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. He’s started 4 games and thrown for 839yards, a completion percentage of 61.
Ezekiel Elliott is the lead back for the Cowboys running game. The 27-year-old has taken 81 carries and rushed for 305 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 61 YPG and he has scored 1 touchdowns with 0 fumbles.
On the passing front, Cooper Rush will look to target CeeDee Lamb against the Mike McCarthy defense. CeeDee Lamb has 2 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 50 times and made 28 catches for 341 yards. CeeDee Lamb has a catch percentage of 56.0% and his yards per reception is 12.2.
According to FootballOutsiders, the Dallas Cowboys offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -1.2% which ranks at number 17 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is -3.5%, the number 23 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 17 with a Rush DVOA total of 7.2%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 5 Red Zone touchdowns on 11 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.455.
Dallas Cowboys Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Brett Maher to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 54 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Brett Maher has made 13 field goals on 54 attempts, a field goal percentage of 92.9%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Cowboys with a Defensive DVOA of -18.6% which ranks at 6/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #3 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of -8.6%. Comparatively, the run defense has a -8.0% DVOA which ranks at #3.
Key Match-ups:
- Jalen Hurts QB Rating of 97.4 vs. Dallas Cowboys Pass DVOA Defense of -3.5%
The Cowboys have 5 interceptions this year and 20 sacks. They are allowing 14.4 points per game. - Miles Sanders vs. Dallas Cowboys number 17 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 4.7 yards per carry against the the Dallas Cowboys and 117.6 per game. - Cooper Rush QB Rating of 93.9 vs. Philadelphia Eagles #3 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Eagles defense has allowed 17.6 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 17 times and picked him off 6 times. - Ezekiel Elliott vs. Philadelphia Eagles -26.6% DVOA Rush Defense
The Eagles are giving up 105 YPG on 5 per carry thus far this season.
Cowboys/Eagles Bettting Stats:
Cowboys Against the spread: 3-1-0
Cowboys Over/Under: 1-3-0
Eagles Against the spread: 3-1-0
Eagles Over/Under: 2-2-0
The best bet is Dallas Cowboys +6 and Under 42.