The 2-4-0 Arizona Cardinals host the 2-4-0 New Orleans Saints at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. The Cardinals have a point spread of -3 with a money line of -136. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 44 points.
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New Orleans Saints (+3)Record: 2-4-0 |
Arizona Cardinals (-3)Record: 2-4-0 |
Arizona Cardinals Offense:
The Cardinals are coached by Kliff Kingsbury who has been with the team since 2019. They have a current season record of 2-4-0 after going 11-6 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Kliff Kingsbury is no different.
Kyler Murray is the quarterback for the Cardinals. The 25-year-old Oklahoma alum entered the league in 2019 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 6 games and thrown for 1463 yards with a completion percentage of 65.1 percent. Kyler Murray has thrown 6 touchdowns despite 4 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 81.8.
His main target will be Marquise Brown. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 25-year-old target. He has made 43 receptions to date on 64 targets, a catch percentage of 67.2%, for a total of 485 yards. Marquise Brown is averaging 11.3 yards per catch with 3 touchdowns thus far. Kyler Murray will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Cardinals running game is lead by the 27-year-old James Conner. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 54 carries and rushed for 200 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 40 YPG, a number that you know Kliff Kingsbury would love to see him exceed in this game. James Conner has 1 touchdowns this season and 1 fumbles.
Overall, the Arizona Cardinals offense ranks 26 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -13.1%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 27 with a Passing DVOA of -6.1%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of -9.3%, ranking #27 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.5 with 9 Red Zone touchdowns in 18 attempts.
Arizona Cardinals Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Cardinals have a Defense DVOA of 6.2%, ranking 20 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #25 at 3.9% and they’ll need them to show up against Andy Dalton. The Kliff Kingsbury-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of 3.9%, #24 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Matt Prater who has made 6 of 6 field goals this season, a 100.0% field goal percentage, with a long of 49 yards. The Arizona Cardinals fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
New Orleans Saints Offense:
The Saints are on the road for this one. Dennis Allen’s squad is 2-4-0 this season after going 9-8 last year. He has been at the helm since 2022 and is looking to grab a road win here. The New Orleans Saints have a betting line of +3 or you could bet them straight up at 116.
35-year-old Andy Dalton will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2011 after playing his college days at TCU. Andy Dalton has a quarterback rating of 90.6 on 3 touchdowns and 1 interceptions. He’s started 3 games and thrown for 585yards, a completion percentage of 63.1.
Alvin Kamara is the lead back for the Saints running game. The 27-year-old has taken 66 carries and rushed for 302 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 75.5 YPG and he has scored 0 touchdowns with 2 fumbles.
On the passing front, Andy Dalton will look to target Michael Thomas against the Dennis Allen defense. Michael Thomas has 3 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 22 times and made 16 catches for 171 yards. Michael Thomas has a catch percentage of 72.7% and his yards per reception is 10.7.
According to FootballOutsiders, the New Orleans Saints offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -1.4% which ranks at number 18 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is 0.1%, the number 17 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 26 with a Rush DVOA total of -5.7%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 13 Red Zone touchdowns on 20 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.65.
New Orleans Saints Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Wil Lutz to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 60 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Wil Lutz has made 9 field goals on 60 attempts, a field goal percentage of 69.2%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Saints with a Defensive DVOA of 4.5% which ranks at 18/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #25 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of 3.9%. Comparatively, the run defense has a -1.1% DVOA which ranks at #24.
Key Match-ups:
- Kyler Murray QB Rating of 81.8 vs. New Orleans Saints Pass DVOA Defense of 0.1%
The Saints have 1 interceptions this year and 13 sacks. They are allowing 26.3 points per game. - James Conner vs. New Orleans Saints number 26 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 4.6 yards per carry against the the New Orleans Saints and 120.8 per game. - Andy Dalton QB Rating of 90.6 vs. Arizona Cardinals #25 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Cardinals defense has allowed 23.7 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 11 times and picked him off 2 times. - Alvin Kamara vs. Arizona Cardinals 16.1% DVOA Rush Defense
The Cardinals are giving up 103.8 YPG on 4.3 per carry thus far this season.
Saints/Cardinals Bettting Stats:
Saints Against the spread: 2-4-0
Saints Over/Under: 4-2-0
Cardinals Against the spread: 3-3-0
Cardinals Over/Under: 1-4-1
The best bet is New Orleans Saints +3 and Over 44.