Packers vs. Falcons: Week 2 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 15 September 2023

The 1-0-0 Atlanta Falcons host the 1-0-0 Green Bay Packers at Mercedes-Benz Stadiumdouble-dagger in Atlanta, Georgia. The Atlanta Falcons have a point spread of -1½ with a money line of -115. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 40½ points.

&The Atlanta Falcons are coached by Arthur Smith who has been with the team since 2021. They have a current season record of 1-0-0 after going 7-10 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense andArthur Smith is no different.

The Atlanta Falcons are coached by Arthur Smith who has been with the team since 2021. They have a current season record of 1-0-0 after going 7-10 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense andArthur Smith is no different.

Desmond Ridder is the quarterback for the Atlanta Falcons. The 24-year-old Cincinnati alum entered the league in 2022 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 1 games and throw for 115 yards with a completion percentage of 83.3 percent. Desmond Ridder has thrown 1 touchdowns against 0 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 111.8.

His main target will be Drake London. The home crowd would love to see some fireworks from the 22-year-old target. He has made 0 receptions to date on 1 targets, a catch percentage of 0, for a total of 0 yards. Drake London is averaging yards per catch with 0 touchdowns thus far. Desmond Ridder will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The Atlanta Falcons running game is lead by the 21-year-old Bijan Robinson. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 10 carries and rushed for 56 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 56 yards per game, a number that you know Arthur Smith would love to see him exceed in this game. Bijan Robinson has 0 touchdowns this season and 0 fumbles.

Their kicker is Younghoe Koo who has made 1 of 1 field goals this season, a 1 field goal percentage, with a long of 49 yards. The Atlanta Falcons fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit one if needed.

Overall, the Atlanta Falcons offense ranks 17 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 0.0244940048525663, per FootballOutsiders. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.5 with 1 Red Zone touchdowns in 2 attempts.

On the defensive end, the Atlanta Falcons have a Defense DVOA of -0.261394518213883, ranking 6 in the league.

The Green Bay Packers are on the road for this one. Matt LaFleur’s squad is 1-0-0 this season after going 8-9 last year. He has been at the helm since 2019 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Green Bay Packers have a betting line of -1½ or you could bet them straight up at -115.

25-year-old Jordan Love will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2020 after playing his college days at Utah State. Jordan Love has a quarterback rating of 123.2 on 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. He’s started 1 games and thrown for 245, a completion percentage of 55.6.

The Green Bay Packers will look to get the running game going in this match-up and to do that they’ll need a big game from Aaron Jones. The 29-year-old back has rushed for 1 touchdowns thus far this season and he’ll look to take it to the house again against the Atlanta Falcons. He’s taken the hand-off 9 times and added 41 yards for the offense. Aaron Jones is averaging 41 yards per game for the season and has lost the ball 0 times. A turnover on the road could be seen as unacceptable for Matt LaFleur so he’ll need to protect the ball here.

On the passing front, Jordan Love will look to target Christian Watson against the Matt LaFleur defense. Christian Watson has 0 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 0 times and made 0 catches for 0 yards. Christian Watson has a catch percentage of 0 and his yards per reception is 0.

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Anders Carlson to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 52 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Anders Carlson has made 1 field goals on 52 attempts, a field goal percentage of 1.

According to FootballOutsiders, the Green Bay Packers offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of 0.206441048310064 which ranks at number 5 out of thirty two teams. If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 3 Red Zone touchdowns on 3 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 1.

Key Match-ups:

  • Desmond Ridder QB Rating of 111.8 vs. Green Bay Packers Defensive Passing YPG of 189
    Green Bay Packers have 17 interceptions this year and 4 sacks. They are allowing 21.8235294117647 points per game.
  • Bijan Robinson vs. Green Bay Packers number 9 ranked DVOA Defense
    Opponents are averaging 5 yards per carry against Green Bay Packers and 139.529411764706 per game.
  • Jordan Love QB Rating of 123.2 vs. Atlanta Falcons Pass Defense
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has allowed 17.875 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 3 times and picked him off 17 times.
  • Aaron Jones vs. Atlanta Falcons Defense
    Atlanta Falcons is giving up 104.5625 yards per game on 4.3 per carry thus far this season.