Commanders vs. Broncos: Week 2 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 15 September 2023

The 0-1-0 Denver Broncos host the 1-0-0 Washington Commanders at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Colorado. The Denver Broncos have a point spread of -3½ with a money line of -108. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 39 points.

&The Denver Broncos are coached by Sean Payton who has been with the team since 2023. They have a current season record of 0-1-0 after going 5-12 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense andSean Payton is no different.

The Denver Broncos are coached by Sean Payton who has been with the team since 2023. They have a current season record of 0-1-0 after going 5-12 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense andSean Payton is no different.

Russell Wilson is the quarterback for the Denver Broncos. The 35-year-old Wisconsin alum entered the league in 2012 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 1 games and throw for 177 yards with a completion percentage of 79.4 percent. Russell Wilson has thrown 2 touchdowns against 0 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 108.

His main target will be Courtland Sutton. The home crowd would love to see some fireworks from the 28-year-old target. He has made 4 receptions to date on 5 targets, a catch percentage of 0.8, for a total of 32 yards. Courtland Sutton is averaging 8 yards per catch with 1 touchdowns thus far. Russell Wilson will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The Denver Broncos running game is lead by the 23-year-old Javonte Williams. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 13 carries and rushed for 52 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 52 yards per game, a number that you know Sean Payton would love to see him exceed in this game. Javonte Williams has 0 touchdowns this season and 0 fumbles.

Their kicker is Wil Lutz who has made 1 of 2 field goals this season, a 0.5 field goal percentage, with a long of 24 yards. The Denver Broncos fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit one if needed.

Overall, the Denver Broncos offense ranks 4 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 0.248599013763028, per FootballOutsiders. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.667 with 2 Red Zone touchdowns in 3 attempts.

On the defensive end, the Denver Broncos have a Defense DVOA of 0.168362150911302, ranking 25 in the league.

The Washington Commanders are on the road for this one. Ron Rivera’s squad is 1-0-0 this season after going 8-8-1 last year. He has been at the helm since 2020 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Washington Commanders have a betting line of -3½ or you could bet them straight up at -108.

23-year-old Sam Howell will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2022 after playing his college days at North Carolina. Sam Howell has a quarterback rating of 77.6 on 1 touchdowns and 1 interceptions. He’s started 1 games and thrown for 202, a completion percentage of 61.3.

The Washington Commanders will look to get the running game going in this match-up and to do that they’ll need a big game from Brian Robinson Jr.. The 24-year-old back has rushed for 0 touchdowns thus far this season and he’ll look to take it to the house again against the Denver Broncos. He’s taken the hand-off 19 times and added 59 yards for the offense. Brian Robinson Jr. is averaging 59 yards per game for the season and has lost the ball 0 times. A turnover on the road could be seen as unacceptable for Ron Rivera so he’ll need to protect the ball here.

On the passing front, Sam Howell will look to target Terry McLaurin against the Ron Rivera defense. Terry McLaurin has 0 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 4 times and made 2 catches for 31 yards. Terry McLaurin has a catch percentage of 0.5 and his yards per reception is 15.5.

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Joey Slye to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 33 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Joey Slye has made 2 field goals on 33 attempts, a field goal percentage of 1.

According to FootballOutsiders, the Washington Commanders offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -0.0324462254705225 which ranks at number 19 out of thirty two teams. If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 2 Red Zone touchdowns on 5 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.4.

Key Match-ups:

  • Russell Wilson QB Rating of 108 vs. Washington Commanders Defensive Passing YPG of 114
    Washington Commanders have 9 interceptions this year and 3 sacks. They are allowing 20.1764705882353 points per game.
  • Javonte Williams vs. Washington Commanders number 7 ranked DVOA Defense
    Opponents are averaging 4.4 yards per carry against Washington Commanders and 113.294117647059 per game.
  • Sam Howell QB Rating of 77.6 vs. Denver Broncos Pass Defense
  • The Denver Broncos defense has allowed 21.1176470588235 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 0 times and picked him off 15 times.
  • Brian Robinson Jr. vs. Denver Broncos Defense
    Denver Broncos is giving up 109.764705882353 yards per game on 4.3 per carry thus far this season.