Bears vs. Buccaneers: Week 2 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 15 September 2023

The 1-0-0 Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the 0-1-0 Chicago Bears at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a point spread of -2½ with a money line of -115. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 41½ points.

&The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are coached by Todd Bowles who has been with the team since 2022. They have a current season record of 1-0-0 after going 8-9 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense andTodd Bowles is no different.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are coached by Todd Bowles who has been with the team since 2022. They have a current season record of 1-0-0 after going 8-9 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense andTodd Bowles is no different.

Baker Mayfield is the quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The 28-year-old Oklahoma alum entered the league in 2018 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 1 games and throw for 173 yards with a completion percentage of 61.8 percent. Baker Mayfield has thrown 2 touchdowns against 0 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 94.4.

His main target will be Chris Godwin. The home crowd would love to see some fireworks from the 27-year-old target. He has made 5 receptions to date on 6 targets, a catch percentage of 0.833, for a total of 51 yards. Chris Godwin is averaging 10.2 yards per catch with 0 touchdowns thus far. Baker Mayfield will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers running game is lead by the 24-year-old Rachaad White. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 17 carries and rushed for 39 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 39 yards per game, a number that you know Todd Bowles would love to see him exceed in this game. Rachaad White has 0 touchdowns this season and 0 fumbles.

Their kicker is Chase McLaughlin who has made 2 of 2 field goals this season, a 1 field goal percentage, with a long of 57 yards. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit one if needed.

Overall, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense ranks 20 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -0.0530435796026256, per FootballOutsiders. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.5 with 1 Red Zone touchdowns in 2 attempts.

On the defensive end, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a Defense DVOA of -0.0154075040469326, ranking 15 in the league.

The Chicago Bears are on the road for this one. Matt Eberflus’s squad is 0-1-0 this season after going 3-14 last year. He has been at the helm since 2022 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Chicago Bears have a betting line of -2½ or you could bet them straight up at -115.

24-year-old Justin Fields will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2021 after playing his college days at Ohio State. Justin Fields has a quarterback rating of 78.2 on 1 touchdowns and 1 interceptions. He’s started 1 games and thrown for 216, a completion percentage of 64.9.

The Chicago Bears will look to get the running game going in this match-up and to do that they’ll need a big game from Khalil Herbert. The 25-year-old back has rushed for 0 touchdowns thus far this season and he’ll look to take it to the house again against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He’s taken the hand-off 9 times and added 27 yards for the offense. Khalil Herbert is averaging 27 yards per game for the season and has lost the ball 0 times. A turnover on the road could be seen as unacceptable for Matt Eberflus so he’ll need to protect the ball here.

On the passing front, Justin Fields will look to target D.J. Moore against the Matt Eberflus defense. D.J. Moore has 0 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 2 times and made 2 catches for 25 yards. D.J. Moore has a catch percentage of 1 and his yards per reception is 12.5.

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Cairo Santos to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 47 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Cairo Santos has made 2 field goals on 47 attempts, a field goal percentage of 1.

According to FootballOutsiders, the Chicago Bears offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -0.186582572647843 which ranks at number 23 out of thirty two teams. If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 1 Red Zone touchdowns on 2 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.5.

Key Match-ups:

  • Baker Mayfield QB Rating of 94.4 vs. Chicago Bears Defensive Passing YPG of 237
    Chicago Bears have 14 interceptions this year and 1 sacks. They are allowing 27.2352941176471 points per game.
  • Rachaad White vs. Chicago Bears number 28 ranked DVOA Defense
    Opponents are averaging 4.9 yards per carry against Chicago Bears and 157.294117647059 per game.
  • Justin Fields QB Rating of 78.2 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pass Defense
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has allowed 21.0588235294118 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 2 times and picked him off 10 times.
  • Khalil Herbert vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers is giving up 120.705882352941 yards per game on 4.5 per carry thus far this season.