Raiders vs. Broncos: Week 1 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 7 September 2023

The 0-0 Denver Broncos host the 0-0 Las Vegas Raiders at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Colorado. The Denver Broncos have a point spread of -3½ with a money line of -110. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 44 points.

&The Denver Broncos are coached by Sean Payton who had been with the team since 2023. They have a current season record of 0-0 after going 5-12 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense and Sean Payton is no different.

The Denver Broncos are coached by Sean Payton who had been with the team since 2023. They have a current season record of 0-0 after going 5-12 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense and Sean Payton is no different.

Russell Wilson is the quarterback for the Denver Broncos. The 34-year-old Wisconsin alum entered the league in 2012 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Last season he had started 15 games and throw for 3524 yards with a completion percentage of 60.5 percent. Russell Wilson had thrown 16 touchdowns against 11 interceptions and had a QB Rating of 84.4.

His main target will be Jerry Jeudy. The home crowd would love to see some fireworks from the 23-year-old target. He had made 67 receptions to date on 100 targets, a catch percentage of 0.67, for a total of 972 yards. Jerry Jeudy is averaged 14.5 yards per catch with 6 touchdowns thus far. Russell Wilson will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The Denver Broncos running game is lead by the 22-year-old Javonte Williams. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 47 carries and rushed for 204 yards Last season. His yards per game currently sits at 51 yards per game, a number that you know Sean Payton would love to see him exceed in this game. Javonte Williams had 0 touchdowns last season and 1 fumbles.

Their kicker is Wil Lutz who had made 23 of 31 field goals last season, a 0.742 field goal percentage, with a long of 60 yards. The Denver Broncos fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit one if needed.

Overall, the Denver Broncos offense ranks 21 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -0.016, per FootballOutsiders. last season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.556 with 20 Red Zone touchdowns in 36 attempts.

On the defensive end, the Denver Broncos have a Defense DVOA of -0.003, ranking 17 in the league.

The Las Vegas Raiders are on the road for this one. Josh McDaniels’s squad is 0-0 this season after going 6-11 last year. He had been at the helm since 2022 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Las Vegas Raiders have a betting line of -3½ or you could bet them straight up at -110.

31-year-old Jimmy Garoppolo will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2014 after playing his college days at Eastern Illinois. Jimmy Garoppolo had a quarterback rating of 103 on 16 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. He’s started 10 games and thrown for 2437, a completion percentage of 67.2.

The Las Vegas Raiders will look to get the running game going in this match-up and to do that they’ll need a big game from Josh Jacobs. The 24-year-old back had rushed for 12 touchdowns Last season and he’ll look to take it to the house again against the Denver Broncos. He’s taken the hand-off 340 times and added 1653 yards for the offense. Josh Jacobs is averaged 97.2 yards per game for the season and had lost the ball 3 times. A turnover on the road could be seen as unacceptable for Josh McDaniels so he’ll need to protect the ball here.

On the passing front, Jimmy Garoppolo will look to target Davante Adams against the Josh McDaniels defense. Davante Adams had 14 touchdowns Last season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 180 times and made 100 catches for 1516 yards. Davante Adams had a catch percentage of 0.556 and his yards per reception is 15.2.

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Daniel Carlson to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 57 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Daniel Carlson had made 34 field goals on 57 attempts, a field goal percentage of 0.919.

According to FootballOutsiders, the Las Vegas Raiders offense had a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of 0.07 which ranks at number 5 out of thirty two teams. If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 23 Red Zone touchdowns on 48 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.479.

Key Match-ups:

  • Russell Wilson QB Rating of 84.4 vs. Las Vegas Raiders Defensive Passing YPG of 242.9
    Las Vegas Raiders have 6 interceptions this year and 27 sacks. They are allowing 24.5882352941177 points per game.
  • Javonte Williams vs. Las Vegas Raiders number 15 ranked DVOA Defense
    Opponents are averaged 4.5 yards per carry against Las Vegas Raiders and 122.764705882353 per game.
  • Jimmy Garoppolo QB Rating of 103 vs. Denver Broncos Pass Defense
  • The Denver Broncos defense had allowed 21.1176470588235 points per game Last season. They have sacked the quarterback 36 times and picked him off 15 times.
  • Josh Jacobs vs. Denver Broncos Defense
    Denver Broncos is giving up 109.764705882353 yards per game on 4.3 per carry Last season.