Packers vs. Bears: Week 1 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 7 September 2023

The 0-0 Chicago Bears host the 0-0 Green Bay Packers at Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois. The Chicago Bears have a point spread of -1 with a money line of -110. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 42 points.

&The Chicago Bears are coached by Matt Eberflus who had been with the team since 2022. They have a current season record of 0-0 after going 3-14 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense and Matt Eberflus is no different.

The Chicago Bears are coached by Matt Eberflus who had been with the team since 2022. They have a current season record of 0-0 after going 3-14 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense and Matt Eberflus is no different.

Justin Fields is the quarterback for the Chicago Bears. The 23-year-old Ohio State alum entered the league in 2021 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Last season he had started 15 games and throw for 2242 yards with a completion percentage of 60.4 percent. Justin Fields had thrown 17 touchdowns against 11 interceptions and had a QB Rating of 85.2.

His main target will be D.J. Moore. The home crowd would love to see some fireworks from the 25-year-old target. He had made 63 receptions to date on 118 targets, a catch percentage of 0.534, for a total of 888 yards. D.J. Moore is averaged 14.1 yards per catch with 7 touchdowns thus far. Justin Fields will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The Chicago Bears running game is lead by the 24-year-old Khalil Herbert. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 129 carries and rushed for 731 yards Last season. His yards per game currently sits at 56.2 yards per game, a number that you know Matt Eberflus would love to see him exceed in this game. Khalil Herbert had 4 touchdowns last season and 0 fumbles.

Their kicker is Cairo Santos who had made 21 of 23 field goals last season, a 0.913 field goal percentage, with a long of 51 yards. The Chicago Bears fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit one if needed.

Overall, the Chicago Bears offense ranks 27 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -0.071, per FootballOutsiders. last season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.56 with 28 Red Zone touchdowns in 50 attempts.

On the defensive end, the Chicago Bears have a Defense DVOA of 0.095, ranking 31 in the league.

The Green Bay Packers are on the road for this one. Matt LaFleur’s squad is 0-0 this season after going 8-9 last year. He had been at the helm since 2019 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Green Bay Packers have a betting line of -1 or you could bet them straight up at -110.

24-year-old Jordan Love will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2020 after playing his college days at Utah State. Jordan Love had a quarterback rating of 112.2 on 1 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. He’s started 0 games and thrown for 195, a completion percentage of 66.7.

The Green Bay Packers will look to get the running game going in this match-up and to do that they’ll need a big game from Aaron Jones. The 28-year-old back had rushed for 2 touchdowns Last season and he’ll look to take it to the house again against the Chicago Bears. He’s taken the hand-off 213 times and added 1121 yards for the offense. Aaron Jones is averaged 65.9 yards per game for the season and had lost the ball 5 times. A turnover on the road could be seen as unacceptable for Matt LaFleur so he’ll need to protect the ball here.

On the passing front, Jordan Love will look to target Christian Watson against the Matt LaFleur defense. Christian Watson had 7 touchdowns Last season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 66 times and made 41 catches for 611 yards. Christian Watson had a catch percentage of 0.621 and his yards per reception is 14.9.

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Anders Carlson to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 0 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Anders Carlson had made 0 field goals on 0 attempts, a field goal percentage of 0.

According to FootballOutsiders, the Green Bay Packers offense had a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of 0.004 which ranks at number 17 out of thirty two teams. If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 28 Red Zone touchdowns on 54 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.519.

Key Match-ups:

  • Justin Fields QB Rating of 85.2 vs. Green Bay Packers Defensive Passing YPG of 197
    Green Bay Packers have 17 interceptions this year and 34 sacks. They are allowing 21.8235294117647 points per game.
  • Khalil Herbert vs. Green Bay Packers number 16 ranked DVOA Defense
    Opponents are averaged 5 yards per carry against Green Bay Packers and 139.529411764706 per game.
  • Jordan Love QB Rating of 112.2 vs. Chicago Bears Pass Defense
  • The Chicago Bears defense had allowed 27.2352941176471 points per game Last season. They have sacked the quarterback 20 times and picked him off 14 times.
  • Aaron Jones vs. Chicago Bears Defense
    Chicago Bears is giving up 157.294117647059 yards per game on 4.9 per carry Last season.