Eagles vs. Patriots: Week 1 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 7 September 2023

The 0-0 New England Patriots host the 0-0 Philadelphia Eagles at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. The New England Patriots have a point spread of +4 with a money line of -115. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 45 points.

&The New England Patriots are coached by Bill Belichick who had been with the team since 2000. They have a current season record of 0-0 after going 8-9 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense and Bill Belichick is no different.

The New England Patriots are coached by Bill Belichick who had been with the team since 2000. They have a current season record of 0-0 after going 8-9 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense and Bill Belichick is no different.

Mac Jones is the quarterback for the New England Patriots. The 24-year-old Alabama alum entered the league in 2021 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Last season he had started 14 games and throw for 2997 yards with a completion percentage of 65.2 percent. Mac Jones had thrown 14 touchdowns against 11 interceptions and had a QB Rating of 84.8.

His main target will be Jakobi Meyers. The home crowd would love to see some fireworks from the 26-year-old target. He had made 67 receptions to date on 96 targets, a catch percentage of 0.698, for a total of 804 yards. Jakobi Meyers is averaged 12 yards per catch with 6 touchdowns thus far. Mac Jones will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The New England Patriots running game is lead by the 24-year-old Rhamondre Stevenson. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 210 carries and rushed for 1040 yards Last season. His yards per game currently sits at 61.2 yards per game, a number that you know Bill Belichick would love to see him exceed in this game. Rhamondre Stevenson had 5 touchdowns last season and 4 fumbles.

Their kicker is Nick Folk who had made 32 of 37 field goals last season, a 0.865 field goal percentage, with a long of 54 yards. The New England Patriots fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit one if needed.

Overall, the New England Patriots offense ranks 20 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -0.015, per FootballOutsiders. last season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.422 with 19 Red Zone touchdowns in 45 attempts.

On the defensive end, the New England Patriots have a Defense DVOA of -0.019, ranking 12 in the league.

The Philadelphia Eagles are on the road for this one. Nick Sirianni’s squad is 0-0 this season after going 14-3 last year. He had been at the helm since 2021 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Philadelphia Eagles have a betting line of +4 or you could bet them straight up at -115.

24-year-old Jalen Hurts will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2020 after playing his college days at Oklahoma. Jalen Hurts had a quarterback rating of 101.5 on 22 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. He’s started 15 games and thrown for 3701, a completion percentage of 66.5.

The Philadelphia Eagles will look to get the running game going in this match-up and to do that they’ll need a big game from D’Andre Swift. The 23-year-old back had rushed for 5 touchdowns Last season and he’ll look to take it to the house again against the New England Patriots. He’s taken the hand-off 99 times and added 542 yards for the offense. D’Andre Swift is averaged 38.7 yards per game for the season and had lost the ball 1 times. A turnover on the road could be seen as unacceptable for Nick Sirianni so he’ll need to protect the ball here.

On the passing front, Jalen Hurts will look to target A.J. Brown against the Nick Sirianni defense. A.J. Brown had 11 touchdowns Last season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 145 times and made 88 catches for 1496 yards. A.J. Brown had a catch percentage of 0.607 and his yards per reception is 17.

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Jake Elliott to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 56 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Jake Elliott had made 20 field goals on 56 attempts, a field goal percentage of 0.87.

According to FootballOutsiders, the Philadelphia Eagles offense had a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of 0.083 which ranks at number 4 out of thirty two teams. If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 40 Red Zone touchdowns on 59 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.678.

Key Match-ups:

  • Mac Jones QB Rating of 84.8 vs. Philadelphia Eagles Defensive Passing YPG of 171.6
    Philadelphia Eagles have 17 interceptions this year and 70 sacks. They are allowing 20.2352941176471 points per game.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson vs. Philadelphia Eagles number 9 ranked DVOA Defense
    Opponents are averaged 4.6 yards per carry against Philadelphia Eagles and 121.647058823529 per game.
  • Jalen Hurts QB Rating of 101.5 vs. New England Patriots Pass Defense
  • The New England Patriots defense had allowed 20.4117647058824 points per game Last season. They have sacked the quarterback 54 times and picked him off 19 times.
  • D’Andre Swift vs. New England Patriots Defense
    New England Patriots is giving up 105.470588235294 yards per game on 4.1 per carry Last season.