Cardinals vs. Commanders: Week 1 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 7 September 2023

The 0-0 Washington Commanders host the 0-0 Arizona Cardinals at FedExField in Landover, Maryland. The Washington Commanders have a point spread of -7 with a money line of -114. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 37½ points.

&The Washington Commanders are coached by Ron Rivera who had been with the team since 2020. They have a current season record of 0-0 after going 8-8-1 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense and Ron Rivera is no different.

The Washington Commanders are coached by Ron Rivera who had been with the team since 2020. They have a current season record of 0-0 after going 8-8-1 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense and Ron Rivera is no different.

Sam Howell is the quarterback for the Washington Commanders. The 22-year-old North Carolina alum entered the league in 2022 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Last season he had started 1 games and throw for 169 yards with a completion percentage of 57.9 percent. Sam Howell had thrown 1 touchdowns against 1 interceptions and had a QB Rating of 83.

His main target will be Terry McLaurin. The home crowd would love to see some fireworks from the 27-year-old target. He had made 77 receptions to date on 120 targets, a catch percentage of 0.642, for a total of 1191 yards. Terry McLaurin is averaged 15.5 yards per catch with 5 touchdowns thus far. Sam Howell will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The Washington Commanders running game is lead by the 23-year-old Brian Robinson Jr.. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 205 carries and rushed for 797 yards Last season. His yards per game currently sits at 66.4 yards per game, a number that you know Ron Rivera would love to see him exceed in this game. Brian Robinson Jr. had 2 touchdowns last season and 2 fumbles.

Their kicker is Joey Slye who had made 25 of 30 field goals last season, a 0.833 field goal percentage, with a long of 58 yards. The Washington Commanders fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit one if needed.

Overall, the Washington Commanders offense ranks 26 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -0.07, per FootballOutsiders. last season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.511 with 24 Red Zone touchdowns in 47 attempts.

On the defensive end, the Washington Commanders have a Defense DVOA of -0.055, ranking 4 in the league.

The Arizona Cardinals are on the road for this one. Jonathan Gannon’s squad is 0-0 this season after going 4-13 last year. He had been at the helm since 2023 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Arizona Cardinals have a betting line of -7 or you could bet them straight up at -114.

25-year-old Kyler Murray will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2019 after playing his college days at Oklahoma. Kyler Murray had a quarterback rating of 87.2 on 14 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. He’s started 11 games and thrown for 2368, a completion percentage of 66.4.

The Arizona Cardinals will look to get the running game going in this match-up and to do that they’ll need a big game from James Conner. The 27-year-old back had rushed for 7 touchdowns Last season and he’ll look to take it to the house again against the Washington Commanders. He’s taken the hand-off 183 times and added 782 yards for the offense. James Conner is averaged 60.2 yards per game for the season and had lost the ball 3 times. A turnover on the road could be seen as unacceptable for Jonathan Gannon so he’ll need to protect the ball here.

On the passing front, Kyler Murray will look to target Marquise Brown against the Jonathan Gannon defense. Marquise Brown had 3 touchdowns Last season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 107 times and made 67 catches for 709 yards. Marquise Brown had a catch percentage of 0.626 and his yards per reception is 10.6.

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Matt Prater to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 57 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Matt Prater had made 22 field goals on 57 attempts, a field goal percentage of 0.88.

According to FootballOutsiders, the Arizona Cardinals offense had a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -0.176 which ranks at number 32 out of thirty two teams. If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 25 Red Zone touchdowns on 44 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.568.

Key Match-ups:

  • Sam Howell QB Rating of 83 vs. Arizona Cardinals Defensive Passing YPG of 230.3
    Arizona Cardinals have 11 interceptions this year and 36 sacks. They are allowing 26.4117647058824 points per game.
  • Brian Robinson Jr. vs. Arizona Cardinals number 28 ranked DVOA Defense
    Opponents are averaged 4.5 yards per carry against Arizona Cardinals and 118.588235294118 per game.
  • Kyler Murray QB Rating of 87.2 vs. Washington Commanders Pass Defense
  • The Washington Commanders defense had allowed 20.1764705882353 points per game Last season. They have sacked the quarterback 43 times and picked him off 9 times.
  • James Conner vs. Washington Commanders Defense
    Washington Commanders is giving up 113.294117647059 yards per game on 4.4 per carry Last season.