Bengals vs. Browns: Week 1 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 7 September 2023

The 0-0 Cleveland Browns host the 0-0 Cincinnati Bengals at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland, Ohio. The Cleveland Browns have a point spread of +2½ with a money line of -110. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 48 points.

&The Cleveland Browns are coached by Kevin Stefanski who had been with the team since 2020. They have a current season record of 0-0 after going 7-10 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense and Kevin Stefanski is no different.

The Cleveland Browns are coached by Kevin Stefanski who had been with the team since 2020. They have a current season record of 0-0 after going 7-10 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense and Kevin Stefanski is no different.

Deshaun Watson is the quarterback for the Cleveland Browns. The 27-year-old Clemson alum entered the league in 2017 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Last season he had started 6 games and throw for 1102 yards with a completion percentage of 58.2 percent. Deshaun Watson had thrown 7 touchdowns against 5 interceptions and had a QB Rating of 79.1.

His main target will be Amari Cooper. The home crowd would love to see some fireworks from the 28-year-old target. He had made 78 receptions to date on 132 targets, a catch percentage of 0.591, for a total of 1160 yards. Amari Cooper is averaged 14.9 yards per catch with 9 touchdowns thus far. Deshaun Watson will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The Cleveland Browns running game is lead by the 27-year-old Nick Chubb. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 302 carries and rushed for 1525 yards Last season. His yards per game currently sits at 89.7 yards per game, a number that you know Kevin Stefanski would love to see him exceed in this game. Nick Chubb had 12 touchdowns last season and 1 fumbles.

Their kicker is Cade York who had made 24 of 32 field goals last season, a 0.75 field goal percentage, with a long of 58 yards. The Cleveland Browns fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit one if needed.

Overall, the Cleveland Browns offense ranks 7 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 0.059, per FootballOutsiders. last season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.536 with 30 Red Zone touchdowns in 56 attempts.

On the defensive end, the Cleveland Browns have a Defense DVOA of -0.032, ranking 8 in the league.

The Cincinnati Bengals are on the road for this one. Zac Taylor’s squad is 0-0 this season after going 12-4 last year. He had been at the helm since 2019 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Cincinnati Bengals have a betting line of +2½ or you could bet them straight up at -110.

26-year-old Joe Burrow will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2020 after playing his college days at LSU. Joe Burrow had a quarterback rating of 100.8 on 35 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. He’s started 16 games and thrown for 4475, a completion percentage of 68.3.

The Cincinnati Bengals will look to get the running game going in this match-up and to do that they’ll need a big game from Joe Mixon. The 26-year-old back had rushed for 7 touchdowns Last season and he’ll look to take it to the house again against the Cleveland Browns. He’s taken the hand-off 210 times and added 814 yards for the offense. Joe Mixon is averaged 58.1 yards per game for the season and had lost the ball 0 times. A turnover on the road could be seen as unacceptable for Zac Taylor so he’ll need to protect the ball here.

On the passing front, Joe Burrow will look to target Ja’Marr Chade against the Zac Taylor defense. Ja’Marr Chade had 9 touchdowns Last season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 134 times and made 87 catches for 1046 yards. Ja’Marr Chade had a catch percentage of 0.649 and his yards per reception is 12.

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Evan McPherson to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 59 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Evan McPherson had made 24 field goals on 59 attempts, a field goal percentage of 0.828.

According to FootballOutsiders, the Cincinnati Bengals offense had a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of 0.113 which ranks at number 2 out of thirty two teams. If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 37 Red Zone touchdowns on 57 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.649.

Key Match-ups:

  • Deshaun Watson QB Rating of 79.1 vs. Cincinnati Bengals Defensive Passing YPG of 234.2
    Cincinnati Bengals have 13 interceptions this year and 30 sacks. They are allowing 20.125 points per game.
  • Nick Chubb vs. Cincinnati Bengals number 25 ranked DVOA Defense
    Opponents are averaged 4.2 yards per carry against Cincinnati Bengals and 106.625 per game.
  • Joe Burrow QB Rating of 100.8 vs. Cleveland Browns Pass Defense
  • The Cleveland Browns defense had allowed 22.4117647058824 points per game Last season. They have sacked the quarterback 34 times and picked him off 11 times.
  • Joe Mixon vs. Cleveland Browns Defense
    Cleveland Browns is giving up 135 yards per game on 4.7 per carry Last season.