49ers vs. Steelers: Week 1 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 7 September 2023

The 0-0 Pittsburgh Steelers host the 0-0 San Francisco 49ers at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The Pittsburgh Steelers have a point spread of +2½ with a money line of -110. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 41½ points.

&The Pittsburgh Steelers are coached by Mike Tomlin who had been with the team since 2007. They have a current season record of 0-0 after going 9-8 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense and Mike Tomlin is no different.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are coached by Mike Tomlin who had been with the team since 2007. They have a current season record of 0-0 after going 9-8 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense and Mike Tomlin is no different.

Kenny Pickett is the quarterback for the Pittsburgh Steelers. The 24-year-old Pitt alum entered the league in 2022 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Last season he had started 12 games and throw for 2404 yards with a completion percentage of 63 percent. Kenny Pickett had thrown 7 touchdowns against 9 interceptions and had a QB Rating of 76.7.

His main target will be Diontae Johnson. The home crowd would love to see some fireworks from the 26-year-old target. He had made 86 receptions to date on 147 targets, a catch percentage of 0.585, for a total of 882 yards. Diontae Johnson is averaged 10.3 yards per catch with 0 touchdowns thus far. Kenny Pickett will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The Pittsburgh Steelers running game is lead by the 24-year-old Najee Harris. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 272 carries and rushed for 1034 yards Last season. His yards per game currently sits at 60.8 yards per game, a number that you know Mike Tomlin would love to see him exceed in this game. Najee Harris had 7 touchdowns last season and 3 fumbles.

Their kicker is Chris Boswell who had made 20 of 28 field goals last season, a 0.714 field goal percentage, with a long of 59 yards. The Pittsburgh Steelers fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit one if needed.

Overall, the Pittsburgh Steelers offense ranks 12 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 0.043, per FootballOutsiders. last season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.519 with 27 Red Zone touchdowns in 52 attempts.

On the defensive end, the Pittsburgh Steelers have a Defense DVOA of -0.02, ranking 11 in the league.

The San Francisco 49ers are on the road for this one. Kyle Shanahan’s squad is 0-0 this season after going 13-4 last year. He had been at the helm since 2017 and is looking to grab a road win here. The San Francisco 49ers have a betting line of +2½ or you could bet them straight up at -110.

23-year-old Brock Purdy will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2022 after playing his college days at Iowa State. Brock Purdy had a quarterback rating of 107.3 on 13 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. He’s started 5 games and thrown for 1374, a completion percentage of 67.1.

The San Francisco 49ers will look to get the running game going in this match-up and to do that they’ll need a big game from Christian McCaffrey. The 26-year-old back had rushed for 8 touchdowns Last season and he’ll look to take it to the house again against the Pittsburgh Steelers. He’s taken the hand-off 244 times and added 1139 yards for the offense. Christian McCaffrey is averaged 67 yards per game for the season and had lost the ball 1 times. A turnover on the road could be seen as unacceptable for Kyle Shanahan so he’ll need to protect the ball here.

On the passing front, Brock Purdy will look to target Deebo Samuel against the Kyle Shanahan defense. Deebo Samuel had 2 touchdowns Last season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 94 times and made 56 catches for 632 yards. Deebo Samuel had a catch percentage of 0.596 and his yards per reception is 11.3.

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Jake Moody to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 0 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Jake Moody had made 0 field goals on 0 attempts, a field goal percentage of 0.

According to FootballOutsiders, the San Francisco 49ers offense had a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -0.054 which ranks at number 25 out of thirty two teams. If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 34 Red Zone touchdowns on 63 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.54.

Key Match-ups:

  • Kenny Pickett QB Rating of 76.7 vs. San Francisco 49ers Defensive Passing YPG of 217.2
    San Francisco 49ers have 20 interceptions this year and 44 sacks. They are allowing 16.2941176470588 points per game.
  • Najee Harris vs. San Francisco 49ers number 7 ranked DVOA Defense
    Opponents are averaged 3.4 yards per carry against San Francisco 49ers and 77.7058823529412 per game.
  • Brock Purdy QB Rating of 107.3 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Pass Defense
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defense had allowed 20.3529411764706 points per game Last season. They have sacked the quarterback 40 times and picked him off 20 times.
  • Christian McCaffrey vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Defense
    Pittsburgh Steelers is giving up 108.117647058824 yards per game on 4.2 per carry Last season.