The 2-1-0 Baltimore Ravens host the 2-1-0 Buffalo Bills at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland. The Ravens have a point spread of +3 with a money line of +140. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 51½ points.
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Buffalo Bills (-3)Record: 2-1-0 |
Baltimore Ravens (+3)Record: 2-1-0 |
Baltimore Ravens Offense:
The Ravens are coached by John Harbaugh who has been with the team since 2008. They have a current season record of 2-1-0 after going 8-9 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly John Harbaugh is no different.
Lamar Jackson is the quarterback for the Ravens. The 25-year-old Louisville alum entered the league in 2018 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 3 games and thrown for 749 yards with a completion percentage of 63.6 percent. Lamar Jackson has thrown 10 touchdowns despite 2 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 119.
His main target will be Rashod Bateman. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 23-year-old target. He has made 8 receptions to date on 16 targets, a catch percentage of 50.0%, for a total of 226 yards. Rashod Bateman is averaging 28.3 yards per catch with 2 touchdowns thus far. Lamar Jackson will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Ravens running game is lead by the 28-year-old Kenyan Drake. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 17 carries and rushed for 39 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 19.5 YPG, a number that you know John Harbaugh would love to see him exceed in this game. Kenyan Drake has 0 touchdowns this season and 0 fumbles.
Overall, the Baltimore Ravens offense ranks 1 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 34.7%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 5 with a Passing DVOA of 10.4%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of 79.0%, ranking #1 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.8 with 8 Red Zone touchdowns in 10 attempts.
Baltimore Ravens Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Ravens have a Defense DVOA of 4.0%, ranking 18 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #14 at -1.3% and they’ll need them to show up against Josh Allen. The John Harbaugh-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of -1.3%, #15 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Justin Tucker who has made 3 of 3 field goals this season, a 100.0% field goal percentage, with a long of 56 yards. The Baltimore Ravens fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
Buffalo Bills Offense:
The Bills are on the road for this one. Sean McDermott’s squad is 2-1-0 this season after going 11-6 last year. He has been at the helm since 2017 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Buffalo Bills have a betting line of -3 or you could bet them straight up at -160.
26-year-old Josh Allen will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2018 after playing his college days at Wyoming. Josh Allen has a quarterback rating of 109.8 on 9 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He’s started 3 games and thrown for 1014yards, a completion percentage of 71.2.
Devin Singletary is the lead back for the Bills running game. The 25-year-old has taken 23 carries and rushed for 80 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 26.7 YPG and he has scored 0 touchdowns with 0 fumbles.
On the passing front, Josh Allen will look to target Stefon Diggs against the Sean McDermott defense. Stefon Diggs has 4 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 35 times and made 27 catches for 344 yards. Stefon Diggs has a catch percentage of 77.1% and his yards per reception is 12.7.
According to FootballOutsiders, the Buffalo Bills offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of 16.5% which ranks at number 6 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is 11.4%, the number 2 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 5 with a Rush DVOA total of 50.5%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 7 Red Zone touchdowns on 11 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.636.
Buffalo Bills Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Tyler Bass to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 49 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Tyler Bass has made 4 field goals on 49 attempts, a field goal percentage of 80.0%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Bills with a Defensive DVOA of -32.1% which ranks at 2/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #14 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of -1.3%. Comparatively, the run defense has a -11.0% DVOA which ranks at #15.
Key Match-ups:
- Lamar Jackson QB Rating of 119 vs. Buffalo Bills Pass DVOA Defense of 11.4%
The Bills have 5 interceptions this year and 11 sacks. They are allowing 12.7 points per game. - Kenyan Drake vs. Buffalo Bills number 5 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 2.8 yards per carry against the the Buffalo Bills and 57.7 per game. - Josh Allen QB Rating of 109.8 vs. Baltimore Ravens #14 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Ravens defense has allowed 25.7 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 7 times and picked him off 6 times. - Devin Singletary vs. Baltimore Ravens 4.0% DVOA Rush Defense
The Ravens are giving up 104.7 YPG on 5 per carry thus far this season.
Bills/Ravens Bettting Stats:
Bills Against the spread: 2-1-0
Bills Over/Under: 1-2-0
Ravens Against the spread: 2-1-0
Ravens Over/Under: 2-1-0
The best bet is Buffalo Bills -3 and Under 51½.