The 1-1-0 New York Jets host the 0-2-0 Cincinnati Bengals at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The Jets have a point spread of +4½ with a money line of +185. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 44½ points.
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Cincinnati Bengals (-4½)Record: 0-2-0 |
New York Jets (+4½)Record: 1-1-0 |
New York Jets Offense:
The Jets are coached by Robert Saleh who has been with the team since 2021. They have a current season record of 1-1-0 after going 4-13 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Robert Saleh is no different.
Joe Flacco is the quarterback for the Jets. The 37-year-old Delaware alum entered the league in 2008 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 2 games and thrown for 616 yards with a completion percentage of 61.2 percent. Joe Flacco has thrown 5 touchdowns despite 1 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 90.1.
His main target will be Elijah Moore. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 22-year-old target. He has made 8 receptions to date on 12 targets, a catch percentage of 66.7%, for a total of 90 yards. Elijah Moore is averaging 11.3 yards per catch with 0 touchdowns thus far. Joe Flacco will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Jets running game is lead by the 21-year-old Breece Hall. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 13 carries and rushed for 73 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 36.5 YPG, a number that you know Robert Saleh would love to see him exceed in this game. Breece Hall has 0 touchdowns this season and 1 fumbles.
Overall, the New York Jets offense ranks 13 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 5.3%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 22 with a Passing DVOA of -4.7%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of 13.9%, ranking #15 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.667 with 4 Red Zone touchdowns in 6 attempts.
New York Jets Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Jets have a Defense DVOA of 29.6%, ranking 32 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #22 at 2.1% and they’ll need them to show up against Joe Burrow. The Robert Saleh-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of 2.1%, #32 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Greg Zuerlein who has made 2 of 3 field goals this season, a 66.7% field goal percentage, with a long of 57 yards. The New York Jets fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
Cincinnati Bengals Offense:
The Bengals are on the road for this one. Zac Taylor’s squad is 0-2-0 this season after going 10-7 last year. He has been at the helm since 2019 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Cincinnati Bengals have a betting line of -4½ or you could bet them straight up at -215.
26-year-old Joe Burrow will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2020 after playing his college days at LSU. Joe Burrow has a quarterback rating of 73.1 on 3 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. He’s started 2 games and thrown for 537yards, a completion percentage of 64.
Joe Mixon is the lead back for the Bengals running game. The 26-year-old has taken 46 carries and rushed for 139 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 69.5 YPG and he has scored 0 touchdowns with 0 fumbles.
On the passing front, Joe Burrow will look to target Ja’Marr Chase against the Zac Taylor defense. Ja’Marr Chase has 1 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 25 times and made 15 catches for 183 yards. Ja’Marr Chase has a catch percentage of 60.0% and his yards per reception is 12.2.
According to FootballOutsiders, the Cincinnati Bengals offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -35.6% which ranks at number 32 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is -0.8%, the number 17 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 29 with a Rush DVOA total of -26.6%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 3 Red Zone touchdowns on 6 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.5.
Cincinnati Bengals Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Evan McPherson to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 59 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Evan McPherson has made 5 field goals on 59 attempts, a field goal percentage of 83.3%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Bengals with a Defensive DVOA of -6.1% which ranks at 10/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #22 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of 2.1%. Comparatively, the run defense has a -1.0% DVOA which ranks at #32.
Key Match-ups:
- Joe Flacco QB Rating of 90.1 vs. Cincinnati Bengals Pass DVOA Defense of -0.8%
The Bengals have 0 interceptions this year and 2 sacks. They are allowing 21.5 points per game. - Breece Hall vs. Cincinnati Bengals number 29 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 3.7 yards per carry against the the Cincinnati Bengals and 91 per game. - Joe Burrow QB Rating of 73.1 vs. New York Jets #22 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Jets defense has allowed 27 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 3 times and picked him off 2 times. - Joe Mixon vs. New York Jets 55.4% DVOA Rush Defense
The Jets are giving up 123.5 YPG on 4.3 per carry thus far this season.
Bengals/Jets Bettting Stats:
Bengals Against the spread: 0-2-0
Bengals Over/Under: 0-2-0
Jets Against the spread: 1-1-0
Jets Over/Under: 1-1-0
The best bet is New York Jets +4½ and Under 44½.