The 0-0 Seattle Seahawks host the 0-0 Denver Broncos at Lumen Field in Seattle, Washington. The Seattle Seahawks have a point spread of +6½ with a money line of +230. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 44 points.
The Seattle Seahawks are coached by Pete Carroll who had been with the team since 2022. They have a current season record of 0-0 after going 7-10 last season. All coaches want big games from their defense and Pete Carroll is no different.
Drew Lock is the quarterback for the Seattle Seahawks. The 25 year-old Missouri alum entered the league in 2019 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Last season he started 3 games and threw for 787 yards with a completion percentage of 60.4 percent. Drew Lock threw 2 touchdowns against 2 interceptions and had a QB Rating of 80.4.
His main target will be Tyler Lockett. The home crowd would love to see some fireworks from the 29 year-old target. He made 73 receptions last season on 107 targets, a catch percentage of 68.20%, for a total of 1175 yards. Tyler Lockett averaged 16.1 yards per catch with 8 touchdowns. Drew Lock will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Seattle Seahawks running game is lead by the 25 year-old Rashaad Penny. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He took 119 carries and rushed for 749 yards last season. His yards per game was 74.9 yards per game, a number that you know Pete Carroll would love to see him exceed in this game. Rashaad Penny had 6 touchdowns last season and 0 fumbles.
Their kicker is Jason Myers who made 17 of 23 field goals last season, a 73.90% field goal percentage, with a long of 53 yards. The Seattle Seahawks fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit one if needed.
Overall, the Seattle Seahawks offense ranks 8 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 9.80%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 8 with a Passing DVOA of 25.90%. The running game had a Rush DVOA of 6.20%, ranking #6 in the league. Last season they had a Red Zone success rate of 64.60% with 31 Red Zone touchdowns in 48 attempts.
On the defensive end, Seattle Seahawks had a Defense DVOA of 1.40%, ranking 23 in the league. Against the pass they rank #26 at 17.60%. They’ll need them to show up against Russell Wilson. The Pete Carroll-led team had a Defense against the rush DVOA of 17.60%, #8 out of thirty two teams.
The Denver Broncos are on the road for this one. Nathaniel Hackett’s squad is 0-0 this season after going 7-10 last year. He had been at the helm since 2018 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Denver Broncos have a betting line of +6½ or you could bet them straight up at +230.
33 year-old Russell Wilson will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2012 after playing his college days at Wisconsin. Russell Wilson had a quarterback rating last season of 103.1 on 25 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. He’s started 14 games and thrown for 3113, a completion percentage of 64.8.
On the passing front, Russell Wilson will look to target Courtland Sutton against the Nathaniel Hackett defense. Courtland Sutton had 2 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. Last year, he was targeted 98 times and made 58 catches for 776 yards. Courtland Sutton had a catch percentage of 59.20% and his yards per reception is 13.4.
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Brandon McManus to knock down field goals if needed. His season long was a 61 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Brandon McManus made 26 field goals on 61 attempts, a field goal percentage of 83.90%.
According to FootballOutsiders, the Denver Broncos offense had a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -8.80% which ranks at number 25 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is 23.40%, the number 11 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 16 with a Rush DVOA total of -6.10%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. Last year, they scored 29 Red Zone touchdowns on 53 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 54.70%.
Key Match-ups:
- Drew Lock QB Rating of 80.4 vs. Denver Broncos Pass DVOA Defense of 23.40%
Denver Broncos had 13 interceptions last year and 36 sacks. They are allowing 18.9 points per game. - Rashaad Penny vs. Denver Broncos number 16 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 4.3 yards per carry against Denver Broncos and 111.3 per game. - Russell Wilson QB Rating of 103.1 vs. Seattle Seahawks #26 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
- The Seattle Seahawks defense had allowed 21.5 points per game last season. They had sacked the quarterback 34 times and picked him off 11 times.
- Javonte Williams vs. Seattle Seahawks -14.40% DVOA Rush Defense
The Seattle Seahawks are giving up 113.6 on 3.8 per carry thus far this season.
Our system predicts that the Denver Broncos will score 18.0338 points in this game and the Seattle Seahawks will score 24.1538 points.
The best bet is Seattle Seahawks +6½ and Under 44.