The 10-1-0 Philadelphia Eagles host the 7-4-0 Tennessee Titans at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Eagles have a point spread of -5 with a money line of -223. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 44.5 points.
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Tennessee Titans (5)Record: 7-4-0 |
Philadelphia Eagles (-5)Record: 10-1-0 |
Philadelphia Eagles Offense:
The Eagles are coached by Nick Sirianni who has been with the team since 2021. They have a current season record of 10-1-0 after going 9-8 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Nick Sirianni is no different.
Jalen Hurts is the quarterback for the Eagles. The 24-year-old Oklahoma alum entered the league in 2020 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 11 games and thrown for 2560 yards with a completion percentage of 67.3 percent. Jalen Hurts has thrown 17 touchdowns despite 3 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 105.6.
His main target will be A.J. Brown. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 25-year-old target. He has made 53 receptions to date on 86 targets, a catch percentage of 61.6%, for a total of 831 yards. A.J. Brown is averaging 15.7 yards per catch with 7 touchdowns thus far. Jalen Hurts will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Eagles running game is lead by the 25-year-old Miles Sanders. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 177 carries and rushed for 900 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 81.8 YPG, a number that you know Nick Sirianni would love to see him exceed in this game. Miles Sanders has 8 touchdowns this season and 0 fumbles.
Overall, the Philadelphia Eagles offense ranks 3 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 18.1%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 3 with a Passing DVOA of 17.3%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of 28.2%, ranking #6 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.725 with 29 Red Zone touchdowns in 40 attempts.
Philadelphia Eagles Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Eagles have a Defense DVOA of -10.5%, ranking 6 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #7 at -7.9% and they’ll need them to show up against Ryan Tannehill. The Nick Sirianni-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of -7.9%, #2 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Jake Elliott who has made 9 of 11 field goals this season, a 81.8% field goal percentage, with a long of 54 yards. The Philadelphia Eagles fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
Tennessee Titans Offense:
The Titans are on the road for this one. Mike Vrabel’s squad is 7-4-0 this season after going 12-5 last year. He has been at the helm since 2018 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Tennessee Titans have a betting line of 5 or you could bet them straight up at 193.
34-year-old Ryan Tannehill will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2012 after playing his college days at Texas A&M. Ryan Tannehill has a quarterback rating of 97 on 10 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. He’s started 9 games and thrown for 1976yards, a completion percentage of 65.0.
Derrick Henry is the lead back for the Titans running game. The 28-year-old has taken 247 carries and rushed for 1048 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 95.3 YPG and he has scored 10 touchdowns with 2 fumbles.
On the passing front, Ryan Tannehill will look to target Robert Woods against the Mike Vrabel defense. Robert Woods has 1 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 56 times and made 32 catches for 351 yards. Robert Woods has a catch percentage of 57.1% and his yards per reception is 11.
According to FootballOutsiders, the Tennessee Titans offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -1.3% which ranks at number 19 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is -1.5%, the number 19 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 13 with a Rush DVOA total of 17.6%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 20 Red Zone touchdowns on 30 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.667.
Tennessee Titans Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Randy Bullock to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 48 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Randy Bullock has made 11 field goals on 48 attempts, a field goal percentage of 84.6%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Titans with a Defensive DVOA of -6.1% which ranks at 10/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #7 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of -7.9%. Comparatively, the run defense has a -6.5% DVOA which ranks at #2.
Key Match-ups:
- Jalen Hurts QB Rating of 105.6 vs. Tennessee Titans Pass DVOA Defense of -1.5%
The Titans have 9 interceptions this year and 31 sacks. They are allowing 18.6 points per game. - Miles Sanders vs. Tennessee Titans number 13 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 3.9 yards per carry against the the Tennessee Titans and 84.5 per game. - Ryan Tannehill QB Rating of 97 vs. Philadelphia Eagles #7 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Eagles defense has allowed 19.6 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 36 times and picked him off 15 times. - Derrick Henry vs. Philadelphia Eagles -20.5% DVOA Rush Defense
The Eagles are giving up 120.7 YPG on 4.7 per carry thus far this season.
Titans/Eagles Bettting Stats:
Titans Against the spread: 8-3-0
Titans Over/Under: 3-8-0
Eagles Against the spread: 6-5-0
Eagles Over/Under: 7-4-0
The best bet is Philadelphia Eagles -5 and Under 44.5.