Jets vs. Vikings: Week 13 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 1 December 2022

The 9-2-0 Minnesota Vikings host the 7-4-0 New York Jets at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Vikings have a point spread of -3 with a money line of -155. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 44.5 points.

New York Jets Minnesota Vikings

New York Jets (3)

Record: 7-4-0
Points Per Game: 20.9
Points Allowed Per Game: 17.8

Minnesota Vikings (-3)

Record: 9-2-0
Points Per Game: 23.8
Points Allowed Per Game: 23.4

Minnesota Vikings Offense:

The Vikings are coached by Kevin O’Connell who has been with the team since 2022. They have a current season record of 9-2-0 after going 8-9 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Kevin O’Connell is no different.

Kirk Cousins is the quarterback for the Vikings. The 34-year-old Michigan State alum entered the league in 2012 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 11 games and thrown for 2760 yards with a completion percentage of 65.0 percent. Kirk Cousins has thrown 17 touchdowns despite 9 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 88.6.

His main target will be Justin Jefferson. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 23-year-old target. He has made 81 receptions to date on 116 targets, a catch percentage of 69.8%, for a total of 1232 yards. Justin Jefferson is averaging 15.2 yards per catch with 5 touchdowns thus far. Kirk Cousins will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The Vikings running game is lead by the 27-year-old Dalvin Cook. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 178 carries and rushed for 841 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 76.5 YPG, a number that you know Kevin O’Connell would love to see him exceed in this game. Dalvin Cook has 6 touchdowns this season and 1 fumbles.

Overall, the Minnesota Vikings offense ranks 20 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -2.7%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 20 with a Passing DVOA of -2.3%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of 7.0%, ranking #20 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.585 with 24 Red Zone touchdowns in 41 attempts.

Minnesota Vikings Defense/Special Teams:

On the defensive end, the Vikings have a Defense DVOA of 5.4%, ranking 23 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #23 at 4.8% and they’ll need them to show up against Mike White. The Kevin O’Connell-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of 4.8%, #27 out of thirty two teams.

Their kicker is Greg Joseph who has made 16 of 21 field goals this season, a 76.2% field goal percentage, with a long of 56 yards. The Minnesota Vikings fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.

New York Jets Offense:

The Jets are on the road for this one. Robert Saleh’s squad is 7-4-0 this season after going 4-13 last year. He has been at the helm since 2021 and is looking to grab a road win here. The New York Jets have a betting line of 3 or you could bet them straight up at 135.

27-year-old Mike White will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2018 after playing his college days at Western Kentucky. Mike White has a quarterback rating of 149.3 on 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. He’s started 1 games and thrown for 315yards, a completion percentage of 78.6.

Breece Hall is the lead back for the Jets running game. The 21-year-old has taken 80 carries and rushed for 463 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 66.1 YPG and he has scored 4 touchdowns with 1 fumbles.

On the passing front, Mike White will look to target Garrett Wilson against the Robert Saleh defense. Garrett Wilson has 4 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 79 times and made 49 catches for 628 yards. Garrett Wilson has a catch percentage of 62.0% and his yards per reception is 12.8.

According to FootballOutsiders, the New York Jets offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -0.6% which ranks at number 18 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is -0.6%, the number 18 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 19 with a Rush DVOA total of 7.7%.

If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 17 Red Zone touchdowns on 31 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.548.

New York Jets Defense/Special Teams:

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Greg Zuerlein to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 57 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Greg Zuerlein has made 18 field goals on 57 attempts, a field goal percentage of 81.8%.

The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Jets with a Defensive DVOA of -13.3% which ranks at 4/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.

Against the pass they rank at #23 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of 4.8%. Comparatively, the run defense has a -13.5% DVOA which ranks at #27.

Key Match-ups:

  • Kirk Cousins QB Rating of 88.6 vs. New York Jets Pass DVOA Defense of -0.6%
    The Jets have 12 interceptions this year and 34 sacks. They are allowing 17.8 points per game.
  • Dalvin Cook vs. New York Jets number 19 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
    Opponents are averaging 4.1 yards per carry against the the New York Jets and 111.3 per game.
  • Mike White QB Rating of 149.3 vs. Minnesota Vikings #23 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
    The Vikings defense has allowed 23.4 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 29 times and picked him off 10 times.
  • Breece Hall vs. Minnesota Vikings 14.7% DVOA Rush Defense
    The Vikings are giving up 114.6 YPG on 4.3 per carry thus far this season.

Jets/Vikings Bettting Stats:

Jets Against the spread: 7-4-0
Jets Over/Under: 4-7-0

Vikings Against the spread: 5-5-1
Vikings Over/Under: 6-5-0

The best bet is New York Jets 3 and Under 44.5.

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