Raiders vs. Seahawks: Week 12 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 24 November 2022

The 6-4-0 Seattle Seahawks host the 3-7-0 Las Vegas Raiders at Lumen Field in Seattle, Washington. The Seahawks have a point spread of -3.5 with a money line of -190. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 48 points.

Las Vegas Raiders Seattle Seahawks

Las Vegas Raiders (+3.5)

Record: 3-7-0
Points Per Game: 22.5
Points Allowed Per Game: 24.2

Seattle Seahawks (-3.5)

Record: 6-4-0
Points Per Game: 25.7
Points Allowed Per Game: 24.1

Seattle Seahawks Offense:

The Seahawks are coached by Pete Carroll who has been with the team since 2010. They have a current season record of 6-4-0 after going 7-10 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Pete Carroll is no different.

Geno Smith is the quarterback for the Seahawks. The 32-year-old West Virginia alum entered the league in 2013 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 10 games and thrown for 2474 yards with a completion percentage of 72.8 percent. Geno Smith has thrown 17 touchdowns despite 4 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 108.

His main target will be D.K. Metcalf. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 25-year-old target. He has made 48 receptions to date on 77 targets, a catch percentage of 62.3%, for a total of 581 yards. D.K. Metcalf is averaging 12.1 yards per catch with 4 touchdowns thus far. Geno Smith will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The Seahawks running game is lead by the 22-year-old Kenneth Walker III. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 121 carries and rushed for 587 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 65.2 YPG, a number that you know Pete Carroll would love to see him exceed in this game. Kenneth Walker III has 7 touchdowns this season and 0 fumbles.

Overall, the Seattle Seahawks offense ranks 7 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 10.5%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 13 with a Passing DVOA of 5.1%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of 31.5%, ranking #4 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.484 with 15 Red Zone touchdowns in 31 attempts.

Seattle Seahawks Defense/Special Teams:

On the defensive end, the Seahawks have a Defense DVOA of 1.4%, ranking 17 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #14 at -0.5% and they’ll need them to show up against Derek Carr. The Pete Carroll-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of -0.5%, #17 out of thirty two teams.

Their kicker is Jason Myers who has made 19 of 20 field goals this season, a 95.0% field goal percentage, with a long of 56 yards. The Seattle Seahawks fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense:

The Raiders are on the road for this one. Josh McDaniels’s squad is 3-7-0 this season after going 10-7 last year. He has been at the helm since 2022 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Las Vegas Raiders have a betting line of +3.5 or you could bet them straight up at +165.

31-year-old Derek Carr will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2014 after playing his college days at Fresno State. Derek Carr has a quarterback rating of 91.6 on 15 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. He’s started 10 games and thrown for 2435yards, a completion percentage of 62.4.

Josh Jacobs is the lead back for the Raiders running game. The 24-year-old has taken 183 carries and rushed for 930 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 93 YPG and he has scored 7 touchdowns with 1 fumbles.

On the passing front, Derek Carr will look to target Davante Adams against the Josh McDaniels defense. Davante Adams has 10 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 112 times and made 64 catches for 925 yards. Davante Adams has a catch percentage of 57.1% and his yards per reception is 14.5.

According to FootballOutsiders, the Las Vegas Raiders offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of 4.0% which ranks at number 15 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is 5.9%, the number 10 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 18 with a Rush DVOA total of 10.4%.

If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 14 Red Zone touchdowns on 28 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.5.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense/Special Teams:

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Daniel Carlson to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 57 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Daniel Carlson has made 21 field goals on 57 attempts, a field goal percentage of 95.5%.

The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Raiders with a Defensive DVOA of 17.2% which ranks at 32/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.

Against the pass they rank at #14 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of -0.5%. Comparatively, the run defense has a 14.2% DVOA which ranks at #17.

Key Match-ups:

  • Geno Smith QB Rating of 108 vs. Las Vegas Raiders Pass DVOA Defense of 5.9%
    The Raiders have 3 interceptions this year and 13 sacks. They are allowing 24.2 points per game.
  • Kenneth Walker III vs. Las Vegas Raiders number 18 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
    Opponents are averaging 4.4 yards per carry against the the Las Vegas Raiders and 122.9 per game.
  • Derek Carr QB Rating of 91.6 vs. Seattle Seahawks #14 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
    The Seahawks defense has allowed 24.1 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 27 times and picked him off 7 times.
  • Josh Jacobs vs. Seattle Seahawks 7.1% DVOA Rush Defense
    The Seahawks are giving up 140.9 YPG on 4.6 per carry thus far this season.

Raiders/Seahawks Bettting Stats:

Raiders Against the spread: 3-5-0
Raiders Over/Under: 4-3-1

Seahawks Against the spread: 6-3-0
Seahawks Over/Under: 5-4-0

The best bet is Seattle Seahawks -3.5 and Under 48.

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