The 6-2-0 New York Giants host the 1-6-1 Houston Texans at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The Giants have a point spread of -5.0 with a money line of -240. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 41 points.
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Houston Texans (+5.0)Record: 1-6-1 |
New York Giants (-5.0)Record: 6-2-0 |
New York Giants Offense:
The Giants are coached by Brian Daboll who has been with the team since 2022. They have a current season record of 6-2-0 after going 4-13 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Brian Daboll is no different.
Daniel Jones is the quarterback for the Giants. The 25-year-old Duke alum entered the league in 2019 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 8 games and thrown for 1399 yards with a completion percentage of 65 percent. Daniel Jones has thrown 6 touchdowns despite 2 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 88.
His main target will be Darius Slayton. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 25-year-old target. He has made 16 receptions to date on 24 targets, a catch percentage of 66.7%, for a total of 232 yards. Darius Slayton is averaging 14.5 yards per catch with 1 touchdowns thus far. Daniel Jones will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Giants running game is lead by the 25-year-old Saquon Barkley. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 163 carries and rushed for 779 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 97.4 YPG, a number that you know Brian Daboll would love to see him exceed in this game. Saquon Barkley has 5 touchdowns this season and 1 fumbles.
Overall, the New York Giants offense ranks 14 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 3.7%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 18 with a Passing DVOA of -0.1%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of 13.1%, ranking #13 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.5 with 12 Red Zone touchdowns in 24 attempts.
New York Giants Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Giants have a Defense DVOA of 7.7%, ranking 25 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #27 at 7.1% and they’ll need them to show up against Davis Mills. The Brian Daboll-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of 7.1%, #23 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Graham Gano who has made 17 of 19 field goals this season, a 89.5% field goal percentage, with a long of 56 yards. The New York Giants fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
Houston Texans Offense:
The Texans are on the road for this one. Lovie Smith’s squad is 1-6-1 this season after going 4-13 last year. He has been at the helm since 2022 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Houston Texans have a betting line of +5.0 or you could bet them straight up at 200.
24-year-old Davis Mills will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2021 after playing his college days at Stanford. Davis Mills has a quarterback rating of 81.2 on 10 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. He’s started 8 games and thrown for 1656yards, a completion percentage of 62.8.
Dameon Pierce is the lead back for the Texans running game. The 22-year-old has taken 148 carries and rushed for 678 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 84.8 YPG and he has scored 3 touchdowns with 2 fumbles.
On the passing front, Davis Mills will look to target Brandin Cooks against the Lovie Smith defense. Brandin Cooks has 1 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 53 times and made 32 catches for 354 yards. Brandin Cooks has a catch percentage of 60.4% and his yards per reception is 11.1.
According to FootballOutsiders, the Houston Texans offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -16.1% which ranks at number 29 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is -12.7%, the number 29 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 30 with a Rush DVOA total of -12.3%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 10 Red Zone touchdowns on 19 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.526.
Houston Texans Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Ka’imi Fairbairn to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 55 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Ka’imi Fairbairn has made 14 field goals on 55 attempts, a field goal percentage of 87.5%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Texans with a Defensive DVOA of 11.8% which ranks at 30/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #27 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of 7.1%. Comparatively, the run defense has a 5.9% DVOA which ranks at #23.
Key Match-ups:
- Daniel Jones QB Rating of 88 vs. Houston Texans Pass DVOA Defense of -12.7%
The Texans have 7 interceptions this year and 19 sacks. They are allowing 22.9 points per game. - Saquon Barkley vs. Houston Texans number 30 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 5.5 yards per carry against the the Houston Texans and 180.6 per game. - Davis Mills QB Rating of 81.2 vs. New York Giants #27 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Giants defense has allowed 19.6 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 16 times and picked him off 1 times. - Dameon Pierce vs. New York Giants 12.1% DVOA Rush Defense
The Giants are giving up 137.3 YPG on 5.5 per carry thus far this season.
Texans/Giants Bettting Stats:
Texans Against the spread: 4-3-1
Texans Over/Under: 4-4-0
Giants Against the spread: 6-2-0
Giants Over/Under: 2-6-0
The best bet is New York Giants -5.0 and Over 41.