The 3-5-0 Los Angeles Rams host the 3-6-0 Arizona Cardinals at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. The Rams have a point spread of -1.0 with a money line of . The over/under total on the game is currently set at 41.5 points.
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Arizona Cardinals (+1.0)Record: 3-6-0 |
Los Angeles Rams (-1.0)Record: 3-5-0 |
Los Angeles Rams Offense:
The Rams are coached by Sean McVay who has been with the team since 2017. They have a current season record of 3-5-0 after going 12-5 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Sean McVay is no different.
Matthew Stafford is the quarterback for the Rams. The 34-year-old Georgia alum entered the league in 2009 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 8 games and thrown for 1928 yards with a completion percentage of 68.4 percent. Matthew Stafford has thrown 8 touchdowns despite 8 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 84.9.
His main target will be Cooper Kupp. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 29-year-old target. He has made 72 receptions to date on 93 targets, a catch percentage of 77.4%, for a total of 813 yards. Cooper Kupp is averaging 11.3 yards per catch with 6 touchdowns thus far. Matthew Stafford will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Rams running game is lead by the 25-year-old Darrell Henderson. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 62 carries and rushed for 253 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 31.6 YPG, a number that you know Sean McVay would love to see him exceed in this game. Darrell Henderson has 2 touchdowns this season and 0 fumbles.
Overall, the Los Angeles Rams offense ranks 26 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -13.5%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 22 with a Passing DVOA of -4.0%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of -0.5%, ranking #21 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.478 with 11 Red Zone touchdowns in 23 attempts.
Los Angeles Rams Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Rams have a Defense DVOA of -1.8%, ranking 13 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #10 at -2.7% and they’ll need them to show up against Kyler Murray. The Sean McVay-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of -2.7%, #22 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Matt Gay who has made 11 of 12 field goals this season, a 91.7% field goal percentage, with a long of 57 yards. The Los Angeles Rams fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
Arizona Cardinals Offense:
The Cardinals are on the road for this one. Kliff Kingsbury’s squad is 3-6-0 this season after going 11-6 last year. He has been at the helm since 2019 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Arizona Cardinals have a betting line of +1.0 or you could bet them straight up at .
25-year-old Kyler Murray will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2019 after playing his college days at Oklahoma. Kyler Murray has a quarterback rating of 86.9 on 12 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. He’s started 9 games and thrown for 2168yards, a completion percentage of 66.7.
James Conner is the lead back for the Cardinals running game. The 27-year-old has taken 61 carries and rushed for 245 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 40.8 YPG and he has scored 1 touchdowns with 1 fumbles.
On the passing front, Kyler Murray will look to target Marquise Brown against the Kliff Kingsbury defense. Marquise Brown has 3 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 64 times and made 43 catches for 485 yards. Marquise Brown has a catch percentage of 67.2% and his yards per reception is 11.3.
According to FootballOutsiders, the Arizona Cardinals offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -16.1% which ranks at number 30 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is -10.2%, the number 28 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 28 with a Rush DVOA total of -7.9%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 15 Red Zone touchdowns on 26 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.577.
Arizona Cardinals Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Matt Prater to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 49 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Matt Prater has made 8 field goals on 49 attempts, a field goal percentage of 100.0%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Cardinals with a Defensive DVOA of 4.2% which ranks at 21/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #10 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of -2.7%. Comparatively, the run defense has a 2.9% DVOA which ranks at #22.
Key Match-ups:
- Matthew Stafford QB Rating of 84.9 vs. Arizona Cardinals Pass DVOA Defense of -10.2%
The Cardinals have 6 interceptions this year and 16 sacks. They are allowing 26.8 points per game. - Darrell Henderson vs. Arizona Cardinals number 28 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 4.5 yards per carry against the the Arizona Cardinals and 115.4 per game. - Kyler Murray QB Rating of 86.9 vs. Los Angeles Rams #10 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Rams defense has allowed 21.6 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 16 times and picked him off 5 times. - James Conner vs. Los Angeles Rams 11.4% DVOA Rush Defense
The Rams are giving up 98.4 YPG on 4.1 per carry thus far this season.
Cardinals/Rams Bettting Stats:
Cardinals Against the spread: 4-5-0
Cardinals Over/Under: 4-4-1
Rams Against the spread: 2-5-1
Rams Over/Under: 2-6-0
The best bet is Los Angeles Rams -1.0 and Under 41.5.