Steelers vs. Eagles: Week 8 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 26 October 2022

The 6-0-0 Philadelphia Eagles host the 2-5-0 Pittsburgh Steelers at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Eagles have a point spread of -10.5 with a money line of -465. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 43 points.

Pittsburgh Steelers Philadelphia Eagles

Pittsburgh Steelers (+10.5)

Record: 2-5-0
Points Per Game: 15.3
Points Allowed Per Game: 23.1

Philadelphia Eagles (-10.5)

Record: 6-0-0
Points Per Game: 26.8
Points Allowed Per Game: 17.5

Philadelphia Eagles Offense:

The Eagles are coached by Nick Sirianni who has been with the team since 2021. They have a current season record of 6-0-0 after going 9-8 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Nick Sirianni is no different.

Jalen Hurts is the quarterback for the Eagles. The 24-year-old Oklahoma alum entered the league in 2020 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 6 games and thrown for 1514 yards with a completion percentage of 66.8 percent. Jalen Hurts has thrown 6 touchdowns despite 2 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 98.4.

His main target will be A.J. Brown. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 25-year-old target. He has made 33 receptions to date on 53 targets, a catch percentage of 62.3%, for a total of 503 yards. A.J. Brown is averaging 15.2 yards per catch with 2 touchdowns thus far. Jalen Hurts will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The Eagles running game is lead by the 25-year-old Miles Sanders. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 105 carries and rushed for 485 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 80.8 YPG, a number that you know Nick Sirianni would love to see him exceed in this game. Miles Sanders has 4 touchdowns this season and 0 fumbles.

Overall, the Philadelphia Eagles offense ranks 4 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 13.9%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 3 with a Passing DVOA of 10.2%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of 27.5%, ranking #6 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.64 with 16 Red Zone touchdowns in 25 attempts.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense/Special Teams:

On the defensive end, the Eagles have a Defense DVOA of -17.7%, ranking 4 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #3 at -9.7% and they’ll need them to show up against Mitchell Trubisky. The Nick Sirianni-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of -9.7%, #2 out of thirty two teams.

Their kicker is Jake Elliott who has made 6 of 7 field goals this season, a 85.7% field goal percentage, with a long of 51 yards. The Philadelphia Eagles fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense:

The Steelers are on the road for this one. Mike Tomlin’s squad is 2-5-0 this season after going 9-7 last year. He has been at the helm since 2007 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Pittsburgh Steelers have a betting line of +10.5 or you could bet them straight up at 375.

28-year-old Mitchell Trubisky will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2017 after playing his college days at North Carolina. Mitchell Trubisky has a quarterback rating of 80.1 on 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He’s started 4 games and thrown for 797yards, a completion percentage of 60.9.

Najee Harris is the lead back for the Steelers running game. The 24-year-old has taken 100 carries and rushed for 329 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 47 YPG and he has scored 1 touchdowns with 1 fumbles.

On the passing front, Mitchell Trubisky will look to target Diontae Johnson against the Mike Tomlin defense. Diontae Johnson has 0 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 67 times and made 38 catches for 337 yards. Diontae Johnson has a catch percentage of 56.7% and his yards per reception is 8.9.

According to FootballOutsiders, the Pittsburgh Steelers offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -9.2% which ranks at number 24 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is -6.8%, the number 27 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 21 with a Rush DVOA total of 4.1%.

If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 9 Red Zone touchdowns on 18 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.5.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense/Special Teams:

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Chris Boswell to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 59 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Chris Boswell has made 12 field goals on 59 attempts, a field goal percentage of 75.0%.

The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Steelers with a Defensive DVOA of -0.5% which ranks at 14/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.

Against the pass they rank at #3 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of -9.7%. Comparatively, the run defense has a -1.6% DVOA which ranks at #2.

Key Match-ups:

  • Jalen Hurts QB Rating of 98.4 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Pass DVOA Defense of -6.8%
    The Steelers have 8 interceptions this year and 12 sacks. They are allowing 23.1 points per game.
  • Miles Sanders vs. Pittsburgh Steelers number 21 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
    Opponents are averaging 4.1 yards per carry against the the Pittsburgh Steelers and 118.9 per game.
  • Mitchell Trubisky QB Rating of 80.1 vs. Philadelphia Eagles #3 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
    The Eagles defense has allowed 17.5 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 17 times and picked him off 9 times.
  • Najee Harris vs. Philadelphia Eagles -27.5% DVOA Rush Defense
    The Eagles are giving up 109.8 YPG on 5 per carry thus far this season.

Steelers/Eagles Bettting Stats:

Steelers Against the spread: 3-3-1
Steelers Over/Under: 2-5-0

Eagles Against the spread: 4-2-0
Eagles Over/Under: 3-3-0

The best bet is Philadelphia Eagles -10.5 and Under 43.