The 2-4-0 Jacksonville Jaguars host the 5-1-0 New York Giants at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Florida. The Jaguars have a point spread of -3 with a money line of -158. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 42 points.
 |
 |
New York Giants (+3)Record: 5-1-0 |
Jacksonville Jaguars (-3)Record: 2-4-0 |
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense:
The Jaguars are coached by Doug Pederson who has been with the team since 2022. They have a current season record of 2-4-0 after going 3-14 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Doug Pederson is no different.
Trevor Lawrence is the quarterback for the Jaguars. The 23-year-old Clemson alum entered the league in 2021 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 6 games and thrown for 1397 yards with a completion percentage of 65.5 percent. Trevor Lawrence has thrown 9 touchdowns despite 4 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 91.9.
His main target will be Christian Kirk. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 26-year-old target. He has made 25 receptions to date on 44 targets, a catch percentage of 56.8%, for a total of 362 yards. Christian Kirk is averaging 14.5 yards per catch with 4 touchdowns thus far. Trevor Lawrence will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Jaguars running game is lead by the 24-year-old James Robinson. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 81 carries and rushed for 340 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 56.7 YPG, a number that you know Doug Pederson would love to see him exceed in this game. James Robinson has 3 touchdowns this season and 1 fumbles.
Overall, the Jacksonville Jaguars offense ranks 11 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at 6.3%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 20 with a Passing DVOA of -0.4%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of 25.1%, ranking #8 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.545 with 12 Red Zone touchdowns in 22 attempts.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Jaguars have a Defense DVOA of -2.1%, ranking 10 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #16 at -0.1% and they’ll need them to show up against Daniel Jones. The Doug Pederson-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of -0.1%, #13 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Riley Patterson who has made 9 of 10 field goals this season, a 90.0% field goal percentage, with a long of 52 yards. The Jacksonville Jaguars fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
New York Giants Offense:
The Giants are on the road for this one. Brian Daboll’s squad is 5-1-0 this season after going 4-13 last year. He has been at the helm since 2022 and is looking to grab a road win here. The New York Giants have a betting line of +3 or you could bet them straight up at 138.
25-year-old Daniel Jones will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2019 after playing his college days at Duke. Daniel Jones has a quarterback rating of 90.2 on 5 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He’s started 6 games and thrown for 1021yards, a completion percentage of 67.3.
Saquon Barkley is the lead back for the Giants running game. The 25-year-old has taken 119 carries and rushed for 616 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 102.7 YPG and he has scored 4 touchdowns with 1 fumbles.
On the passing front, Daniel Jones will look to target Kadarius Toney against the Brian Daboll defense. Kadarius Toney has 0 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 3 times and made 2 catches for 0 yards. Kadarius Toney has a catch percentage of 66.7% and his yards per reception is 0.
According to FootballOutsiders, the New York Giants offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of 5.5% which ranks at number 13 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is -0.9%, the number 22 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 12 with a Rush DVOA total of 16.1%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 10 Red Zone touchdowns on 17 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.588.
New York Giants Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Graham Gano to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 56 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Graham Gano has made 12 field goals on 56 attempts, a field goal percentage of 85.7%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Giants with a Defensive DVOA of 9.8% which ranks at 30/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #16 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of -0.1%. Comparatively, the run defense has a 8.2% DVOA which ranks at #13.
Key Match-ups:
- Trevor Lawrence QB Rating of 91.9 vs. New York Giants Pass DVOA Defense of -0.9%
The Giants have 1 interceptions this year and 13 sacks. They are allowing 18.8 points per game. - James Robinson vs. New York Giants number 12 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 5.6 yards per carry against the the New York Giants and 144.8 per game. - Daniel Jones QB Rating of 90.2 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars #16 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Jaguars defense has allowed 19 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 10 times and picked him off 7 times. - Saquon Barkley vs. Jacksonville Jaguars 4.8% DVOA Rush Defense
The Jaguars are giving up 89.3 YPG on 3.6 per carry thus far this season.
Giants/Jaguars Bettting Stats:
Giants Against the spread: 5-1-0
Giants Over/Under: 2-4-0
Jaguars Against the spread: 2-4-0
Jaguars Over/Under: 4-2-0
The best bet is Jacksonville Jaguars -3 and Over 42.