Eagles vs. Cardinals: Week 5 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 4 October 2022

The 2-2-0 Arizona Cardinals host the 4-0-0 Philadelphia Eagles at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. The Cardinals have a point spread of 5 with a money line of 195. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 49½ points.

Philadelphia Eagles Arizona Cardinals

Philadelphia Eagles (-5)

Record: 4-0-0
Points Per Game: 28.8
Points Allowed Per Game: 17.8

Arizona Cardinals (5)

Record: 2-2-0
Points Per Game: 22
Points Allowed Per Game: 25.8

Arizona Cardinals Offense:

The Cardinals are coached by Kliff Kingsbury who has been with the team since 2019. They have a current season record of 2-2-0 after going 11-6 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Kliff Kingsbury is no different.

Kyler Murray is the quarterback for the Cardinals. The 25-year-old Oklahoma alum entered the league in 2019 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 4 games and thrown for 991 yards with a completion percentage of 65.3 percent. Kyler Murray has thrown 5 touchdowns despite 2 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 85.2.

His main target will be Marquise Brown. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 25-year-old target. He has made 30 receptions to date on 45 targets, a catch percentage of 66.7%, for a total of 339 yards. Marquise Brown is averaging 11.3 yards per catch with 2 touchdowns thus far. Kyler Murray will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The Cardinals running game is lead by the 27-year-old James Conner. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 45 carries and rushed for 145 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 36.3 YPG, a number that you know Kliff Kingsbury would love to see him exceed in this game. James Conner has 1 touchdowns this season and 1 fumbles.

Overall, the Arizona Cardinals offense ranks 22 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -8.5%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 22 with a Passing DVOA of -2.9%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of -6.9%, ranking #25 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.571 with 8 Red Zone touchdowns in 14 attempts.

Arizona Cardinals Defense/Special Teams:

On the defensive end, the Cardinals have a Defense DVOA of 11.3%, ranking 29 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #28 at 5.2% and they’ll need them to show up against Jalen Hurts. The Kliff Kingsbury-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of 5.2%, #28 out of thirty two teams.

Their kicker is Matt Prater who has made 6 of 6 field goals this season, a 100.0% field goal percentage, with a long of 49 yards. The Arizona Cardinals fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense:

The Eagles are on the road for this one. Nick Sirianni’s squad is 4-0-0 this season after going 9-8 last year. He has been at the helm since 2021 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Philadelphia Eagles have a betting line of -5 or you could bet them straight up at -225.

24-year-old Jalen Hurts will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2020 after playing his college days at Oklahoma. Jalen Hurts has a quarterback rating of 99.6 on 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He’s started 4 games and thrown for 1120yards, a completion percentage of 66.7.

Miles Sanders is the lead back for the Eagles running game. The 25-year-old has taken 72 carries and rushed for 356 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 89 YPG and he has scored 3 touchdowns with 0 fumbles.

On the passing front, Jalen Hurts will look to target A.J. Brown against the Nick Sirianni defense. A.J. Brown has 1 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 38 times and made 25 catches for 404 yards. A.J. Brown has a catch percentage of 65.8% and his yards per reception is 16.2.

According to FootballOutsiders, the Philadelphia Eagles offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of 17.9% which ranks at number 4 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is 10.5%, the number 3 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 4 with a Rush DVOA total of 39.9%.

If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 11 Red Zone touchdowns on 17 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.647.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense/Special Teams:

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Jake Elliott to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 38 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Jake Elliott has made 4 field goals on 38 attempts, a field goal percentage of 80.0%.

The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Eagles with a Defensive DVOA of -24.8% which ranks at 3/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.

Against the pass they rank at #28 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of 5.2%. Comparatively, the run defense has a -9.6% DVOA which ranks at #28.

Key Match-ups:

  • Kyler Murray QB Rating of 85.2 vs. Philadelphia Eagles Pass DVOA Defense of 10.5%
    The Eagles have 5 interceptions this year and 16 sacks. They are allowing 17.8 points per game.
  • James Conner vs. Philadelphia Eagles number 4 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
    Opponents are averaging 5 yards per carry against the the Philadelphia Eagles and 100.3 per game.
  • Jalen Hurts QB Rating of 99.6 vs. Arizona Cardinals #28 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
    The Cardinals defense has allowed 25.8 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 4 times and picked him off 2 times.
  • Miles Sanders vs. Arizona Cardinals 24.1% DVOA Rush Defense
    The Cardinals are giving up 87 YPG on 4.3 per carry thus far this season.

Eagles/Cardinals Bettting Stats:

Eagles Against the spread: 3-1-0
Eagles Over/Under: 2-2-0

Cardinals Against the spread: 2-2-0
Cardinals Over/Under: 1-2-1

The best bet is Philadelphia Eagles -5 and Under 49½.