The 1-2-0 Pittsburgh Steelers host the 1-2-0 New York Jets at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The Steelers have a point spread of -3 with a money line of -170. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 41½ points.
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New York Jets (+3)Record: 1-2-0 |
Pittsburgh Steelers (-3)Record: 1-2-0 |
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense:
The Steelers are coached by Mike Tomlin who has been with the team since 2007. They have a current season record of 1-2-0 after going 9-7 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Mike Tomlin is no different.
Mitchell Trubisky is the quarterback for the Steelers. The 28-year-old North Carolina alum entered the league in 2017 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 3 games and thrown for 569 yards with a completion percentage of 60.2 percent. Mitchell Trubisky has thrown 2 touchdowns despite 1 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 77.7.
His main target will be Diontae Johnson. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 26-year-old target. He has made 21 receptions to date on 33 targets, a catch percentage of 63.6%, for a total of 196 yards. Diontae Johnson is averaging 9.3 yards per catch with 0 touchdowns thus far. Mitchell Trubisky will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Steelers running game is lead by the 24-year-old Najee Harris. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 40 carries and rushed for 128 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 42.7 YPG, a number that you know Mike Tomlin would love to see him exceed in this game. Najee Harris has 1 touchdowns this season and 1 fumbles.
Overall, the Pittsburgh Steelers offense ranks 16 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -2.3%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 23 with a Passing DVOA of -4.0%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of 0.6%, ranking #21 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.571 with 4 Red Zone touchdowns in 7 attempts.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Steelers have a Defense DVOA of -2.4%, ranking 12 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #12 at -3.0% and they’ll need them to show up against Joe Flacco. The Mike Tomlin-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of -3.0%, #12 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Chris Boswell who has made 6 of 8 field goals this season, a 75.0% field goal percentage, with a long of 53 yards. The Pittsburgh Steelers fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
New York Jets Offense:
The Jets are on the road for this one. Robert Saleh’s squad is 1-2-0 this season after going 4-13 last year. He has been at the helm since 2021 and is looking to grab a road win here. The New York Jets have a betting line of +3 or you could bet them straight up at +150.
37-year-old Joe Flacco will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2008 after playing his college days at Delaware. Joe Flacco has a quarterback rating of 77.9 on 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He’s started 3 games and thrown for 901yards, a completion percentage of 58.7.
Breece Hall is the lead back for the Jets running game. The 21-year-old has taken 21 carries and rushed for 112 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 37.3 YPG and he has scored 0 touchdowns with 1 fumbles.
On the passing front, Joe Flacco will look to target Elijah Moore against the Robert Saleh defense. Elijah Moore has 0 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 22 times and made 12 catches for 139 yards. Elijah Moore has a catch percentage of 54.5% and his yards per reception is 11.6.
According to FootballOutsiders, the New York Jets offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -7.3% which ranks at number 19 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is -6.7%, the number 26 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 23 with a Rush DVOA total of -4.3%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 4 Red Zone touchdowns on 8 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.5.
New York Jets Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Greg Zuerlein to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 57 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Greg Zuerlein has made 6 field goals on 57 attempts, a field goal percentage of 85.7%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Jets with a Defensive DVOA of 22.0% which ranks at 32/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #12 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of -3.0%. Comparatively, the run defense has a 2.7% DVOA which ranks at #12.
Key Match-ups:
- Mitchell Trubisky QB Rating of 77.7 vs. New York Jets Pass DVOA Defense of -6.7%
The Jets have 2 interceptions this year and 5 sacks. They are allowing 27 points per game. - Najee Harris vs. New York Jets number 23 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 3.7 yards per carry against the the New York Jets and 105.3 per game. - Joe Flacco QB Rating of 77.9 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers #12 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Steelers defense has allowed 22 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 9 times and picked him off 5 times. - Breece Hall vs. Pittsburgh Steelers -0.4% DVOA Rush Defense
The Steelers are giving up 142.7 YPG on 4.2 per carry thus far this season.
Jets/Steelers Bettting Stats:
Jets Against the spread: 1-2-0
Jets Over/Under: 1-2-0
Steelers Against the spread: 1-1-1
Steelers Over/Under: 1-2-0
The best bet is Pittsburgh Steelers -3 and Over 41½.