The 0-3-0 Las Vegas Raiders host the 2-1-0 Denver Broncos at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada. The Raiders have a point spread of -3 with a money line of -141. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 45½ points.
Denver Broncos (+3)
Las Vegas Raiders (-3)
Las Vegas Raiders Offense:
The Raiders are coached by Josh McDaniels who has been with the team since 2022. They have a current season record of 0-3-0 after going 10-7 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Josh McDaniels is no different.
Derek Carr is the quarterback for the Raiders. The 31-year-old Fresno State alum entered the league in 2014 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 3 games and thrown for 850 yards with a completion percentage of 60.8 percent. Derek Carr has thrown 6 touchdowns despite 4 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 85.1.
His main target will be Davante Adams. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 30-year-old target. He has made 17 receptions to date on 34 targets, a catch percentage of 50.0%, for a total of 189 yards. Davante Adams is averaging 11.1 yards per catch with 3 touchdowns thus far. Derek Carr will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Raiders running game is lead by the 24-year-old Josh Jacobs. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 42 carries and rushed for 192 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 64 YPG, a number that you know Josh McDaniels would love to see him exceed in this game. Josh Jacobs has 0 touchdowns this season and 1 fumbles.
Overall, the Las Vegas Raiders offense ranks 24 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -12.5%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 14 with a Passing DVOA of 1.5%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of 3.0%, ranking #20 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.462 with 6 Red Zone touchdowns in 13 attempts.
Las Vegas Raiders Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Raiders have a Defense DVOA of 6.6%, ranking 20 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #21 at 1.9% and they’ll need them to show up against Russell Wilson. The Josh McDaniels-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of 1.9%, #23 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Daniel Carlson who has made 8 of 8 field goals this season, a 100.0% field goal percentage, with a long of 55 yards. The Las Vegas Raiders fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
Denver Broncos Offense:
The Broncos are on the road for this one. Nathaniel Hackett’s squad is 2-1-0 this season after going 7-10 last year. He has been at the helm since 2022 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Denver Broncos have a betting line of +3 or you could bet them straight up at +121.
34-year-old Russell Wilson will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2012 after playing his college days at Wisconsin. Russell Wilson has a quarterback rating of 83.2 on 2 touchdowns and 1 interceptions. He’s started 3 games and thrown for 743yards, a completion percentage of 59.4.
Javonte Williams is the lead back for the Broncos running game. The 22-year-old has taken 37 carries and rushed for 176 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 58.7 YPG and he has scored 0 touchdowns with 1 fumbles.
On the passing front, Russell Wilson will look to target Courtland Sutton against the Nathaniel Hackett defense. Courtland Sutton has 0 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 28 times and made 19 catches for 291 yards. Courtland Sutton has a catch percentage of 67.9% and his yards per reception is 15.3.
According to FootballOutsiders, the Denver Broncos offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -11.1% which ranks at number 22 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is 1.9%, the number 12 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 14 with a Rush DVOA total of 10.5%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 1 Red Zone touchdowns on 7 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.143.
Denver Broncos Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Brandon McManus to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 55 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Brandon McManus has made 7 field goals on 55 attempts, a field goal percentage of 77.8%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Broncos with a Defensive DVOA of -24.3% which ranks at 5/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #21 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of 1.9%. Comparatively, the run defense has a -3.3% DVOA which ranks at #23.
- Derek Carr QB Rating of 85.1 vs. Denver Broncos Pass DVOA Defense of 1.9%
The Broncos have 1 interceptions this year and 9 sacks. They are allowing 12 points per game.
- Josh Jacobs vs. Denver Broncos number 14 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 4.4 yards per carry against the the Denver Broncos and 81.3 per game.
- Russell Wilson QB Rating of 83.2 vs. Las Vegas Raiders #21 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Raiders defense has allowed 25.7 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 2 times and picked him off 2 times.
- Javonte Williams vs. Las Vegas Raiders 17.0% DVOA Rush Defense
The Raiders are giving up 109.3 YPG on 3.8 per carry thus far this season.
Broncos/Raiders Bettting Stats:
Broncos Against the spread: 1-2-0
Broncos Over/Under: 0-3-0
Raiders Against the spread: 0-3-0
Raiders Over/Under: 1-1-1
The best bet is Denver Broncos +3 and Under 45½.