The 1-1-0 Arizona Cardinals host the 1-1-0 Los Angeles Rams at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. The Cardinals have a point spread of +3½ with a money line of +155. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 48½ points.
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Los Angeles Rams (-3½)Record: 1-1-0 |
Arizona Cardinals (+3½)Record: 1-1-0 |
Arizona Cardinals Offense:
The Cardinals are coached by Kliff Kingsbury who has been with the team since 2019. They have a current season record of 1-1-0 after going 11-6 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Kliff Kingsbury is no different.
Kyler Murray is the quarterback for the Cardinals. The 25-year-old Oklahoma alum entered the league in 2019 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 2 games and thrown for 470 yards with a completion percentage of 63.9 percent. Kyler Murray has thrown 3 touchdowns despite 1 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 85.9.
His main target will be Marquise Brown. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 25-year-old target. He has made 10 receptions to date on 17 targets, a catch percentage of 58.8%, for a total of 111 yards. Marquise Brown is averaging 11.1 yards per catch with 1 touchdowns thus far. Kyler Murray will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Cardinals running game is lead by the 27-year-old James Conner. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 17 carries and rushed for 51 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 25.5 YPG, a number that you know Kliff Kingsbury would love to see him exceed in this game. James Conner has 1 touchdowns this season and 1 fumbles.
Overall, the Arizona Cardinals offense ranks 19 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -8.7%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 20 with a Passing DVOA of -1.7%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of -8.2%, ranking #25 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.857 with 6 Red Zone touchdowns in 7 attempts.
Arizona Cardinals Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Cardinals have a Defense DVOA of 22.5%, ranking 31 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #30 at 5.6% and they’ll need them to show up against Matthew Stafford. The Kliff Kingsbury-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of 5.6%, #28 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Matt Prater who has made of field goals this season, a field goal percentage, with a long of yards. The Arizona Cardinals fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
Los Angeles Rams Offense:
The Rams are on the road for this one. Sean McVay’s squad is 1-1-0 this season after going 12-5 last year. He has been at the helm since 2017 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Los Angeles Rams have a betting line of -3½ or you could bet them straight up at -175.
34-year-old Matthew Stafford will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2009 after playing his college days at Georgia. Matthew Stafford has a quarterback rating of 80.7 on 4 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. He’s started 2 games and thrown for 512yards, a completion percentage of 72.7.
Cam Akers is the lead back for the Rams running game. The 23-year-old has taken 18 carries and rushed for 44 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 22 YPG and he has scored 0 touchdowns with 0 fumbles.
On the passing front, Matthew Stafford will look to target Cooper Kupp against the Sean McVay defense. Cooper Kupp has 3 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 29 times and made 24 catches for 236 yards. Cooper Kupp has a catch percentage of 82.8% and his yards per reception is 9.8.
According to FootballOutsiders, the Los Angeles Rams offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -11.8% which ranks at number 20 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is 4.1%, the number 12 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 21 with a Rush DVOA total of -6.7%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 5 Red Zone touchdowns on 7 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.714.
Los Angeles Rams Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Matt Gay to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 57 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Matt Gay has made 2 field goals on 57 attempts, a field goal percentage of 100.0%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Rams with a Defensive DVOA of 6.5% which ranks at 19/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #30 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of 5.6%. Comparatively, the run defense has a -2.5% DVOA which ranks at #28.
Key Match-ups:
- Kyler Murray QB Rating of 85.9 vs. Los Angeles Rams Pass DVOA Defense of 4.1%
The Rams have 4 interceptions this year and 5 sacks. They are allowing 29 points per game. - James Conner vs. Los Angeles Rams number 21 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 4.1 yards per carry against the the Los Angeles Rams and 105.5 per game. - Matthew Stafford QB Rating of 80.7 vs. Arizona Cardinals #30 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Cardinals defense has allowed 33.5 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 1 times and picked him off 0 times. - Cam Akers vs. Arizona Cardinals 40.7% DVOA Rush Defense
The Cardinals are giving up 104 YPG on 4.3 per carry thus far this season.
Rams/Cardinals Bettting Stats:
Rams Against the spread: 0-2-0
Rams Over/Under: 1-1-0
Cardinals Against the spread: 1-1-0
Cardinals Over/Under: 1-0-1
The best bet is Arizona Cardinals +3½ and Over 48½.