Raiders vs. Titans: Week 3 Betting Preview & Predictions

by | 20 September 2022

The 0-2-0 Tennessee Titans host the 0-2-0 Las Vegas Raiders at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. The Titans have a point spread of +2½ with a money line of +110. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 45½ points.

Las Vegas Raiders Tennessee Titans

Las Vegas Raiders (-2½)

Record: 0-2-0
Points Per Game: 21
Points Allowed Per Game: 26.5

Tennessee Titans (+2½)

Record: 0-2-0
Points Per Game: 13.5
Points Allowed Per Game: 31

Tennessee Titans Offense:

The Titans are coached by Mike Vrabel who has been with the team since 2018. They have a current season record of 0-2-0 after going 12-5 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Mike Vrabel is no different.

Ryan Tannehill is the quarterback for the Titans. The 34-year-old Texas A&M alum entered the league in 2012 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 2 games and thrown for 383 yards with a completion percentage of 58.5 percent. Ryan Tannehill has thrown 2 touchdowns despite 2 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 77.8.

His main target will be Robert Woods. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 30-year-old target. He has made 5 receptions to date on 7 targets, a catch percentage of 71.4%, for a total of 52 yards. Robert Woods is averaging 10.4 yards per catch with 0 touchdowns thus far. Ryan Tannehill will be looking to connect with him for more here.

The Titans running game is lead by the 28-year-old Derrick Henry. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 34 carries and rushed for 107 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 53.5 YPG, a number that you know Mike Vrabel would love to see him exceed in this game. Derrick Henry has 1 touchdowns this season and 1 fumbles.

Overall, the Tennessee Titans offense ranks 29 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -19.2%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 26 with a Passing DVOA of -7.9%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of 10.7%, ranking #17 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0.75 with 3 Red Zone touchdowns in 4 attempts.

Tennessee Titans Defense/Special Teams:

On the defensive end, the Titans have a Defense DVOA of 17.9%, ranking 29 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #27 at 4.1% and they’ll need them to show up against Derek Carr. The Mike Vrabel-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of 4.1%, #26 out of thirty two teams.

Their kicker is Randy Bullock who has made 2 of 3 field goals this season, a 66.7% field goal percentage, with a long of 46 yards. The Tennessee Titans fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense:

The Raiders are on the road for this one. Josh McDaniels’s squad is 0-2-0 this season after going 10-7 last year. He has been at the helm since 2022 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Las Vegas Raiders have a betting line of -2½ or you could bet them straight up at -130.

31-year-old Derek Carr will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2014 after playing his college days at Fresno State. Derek Carr has a quarterback rating of 84.7 on 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He’s started 2 games and thrown for 547yards, a completion percentage of 61.8.

Josh Jacobs is the lead back for the Raiders running game. The 24-year-old has taken 29 carries and rushed for 126 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 63 YPG and he has scored 0 touchdowns with 0 fumbles.

On the passing front, Derek Carr will look to target Davante Adams against the Josh McDaniels defense. Davante Adams has 2 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 24 times and made 12 catches for 153 yards. Davante Adams has a catch percentage of 50.0% and his yards per reception is 12.8.

According to FootballOutsiders, the Las Vegas Raiders offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of -16.0% which ranks at number 24 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is 2.2%, the number 13 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 26 with a Rush DVOA total of -11.2%.

If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 4 Red Zone touchdowns on 7 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.571.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense/Special Teams:

The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Daniel Carlson to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 55 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Daniel Carlson has made 5 field goals on 55 attempts, a field goal percentage of 100.0%.

The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Raiders with a Defensive DVOA of 0.8% which ranks at 15/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.

Against the pass they rank at #27 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of 4.1%. Comparatively, the run defense has a 0.6% DVOA which ranks at #26.

Key Match-ups:

  • Ryan Tannehill QB Rating of 77.8 vs. Las Vegas Raiders Pass DVOA Defense of 2.2%
    The Raiders have 1 interceptions this year and 1 sacks. They are allowing 26.5 points per game.
  • Derrick Henry vs. Las Vegas Raiders number 26 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
    Opponents are averaging 3.7 yards per carry against the the Las Vegas Raiders and 109.5 per game.
  • Derek Carr QB Rating of 84.7 vs. Tennessee Titans #27 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
    The Titans defense has allowed 31 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 6 times and picked him off 1 times.
  • Josh Jacobs vs. Tennessee Titans 23.7% DVOA Rush Defense
    The Titans are giving up 169.5 YPG on 6.1 per carry thus far this season.

Raiders/Titans Bettting Stats:

Raiders Against the spread: 0-2-0
Raiders Over/Under: 0-1-1

Titans Against the spread: 0-2-0
Titans Over/Under: 1-1-0

The best bet is Las Vegas Raiders -2½ and Under 45½.