The 1-1-0 Seattle Seahawks host the 0-2-0 Atlanta Falcons at Lumen Field in Seattle, Washington. The Seahawks have a point spread of -1 with a money line of -128. The over/under total on the game is currently set at 42 points.
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Atlanta Falcons (+1)Record: 0-2-0 |
Seattle Seahawks (-1)Record: 1-1-0 |
Seattle Seahawks Offense:
The Seahawks are coached by Pete Carroll who has been with the team since 2010. They have a current season record of 1-1-0 after going 7-10 last season. All coaches want big games from their offense and certainly Pete Carroll is no different.
Geno Smith is the quarterback for the Seahawks. The 32-year-old West Virginia alum entered the league in 2013 and is looking for a win in front of the home crowd here. Thus far this season he has started 2 games and thrown for 392 yards with a completion percentage of 81 percent. Geno Smith has thrown 2 touchdowns despite 1 interceptions and has a QB Rating of 99.1.
His main target will be D.K. Metcalf. The home crowd would especially love to see some fireworks from the 25-year-old target. He has made 11 receptions to date on 13 targets, a catch percentage of 84.6%, for a total of 71 yards. D.K. Metcalf is averaging 6.5 yards per catch with 0 touchdowns thus far. Geno Smith will be looking to connect with him for more here.
The Seahawks running game is lead by the 26-year-old Rashaad Penny. A big game from him could be the key to controlling the clock here. He’s taken 18 carries and rushed for 75 yards thus far this season. His yards per game currently sits at 37.5 YPG, a number that you know Pete Carroll would love to see him exceed in this game. Rashaad Penny has 0 touchdowns this season and 1 fumbles.
Overall, the Seattle Seahawks offense ranks 21 out of 32 teams in Offense DVOA at -13.1%, per FootballOutsiders. The passing game ranks at number 31 with a Passing DVOA of -10.3%. The running game has a Rush DVOA of 6.3%, ranking #18 in the league. This season they have a Red Zone success rate of 0 with 0 Red Zone touchdowns in 3 attempts.
Seattle Seahawks Defense/Special Teams:
On the defensive end, the Seahawks have a Defense DVOA of 14.2%, ranking 25 in the league. Specifically against the pass they rank #25 at 2.8% and they’ll need them to show up against Marcus Mariota. The Pete Carroll-led team has a Defense against the rush DVOA of 2.8%, #30 out of thirty two teams.
Their kicker is Jason Myers who has made 1 of 1 field goals this season, a 100.0% field goal percentage, with a long of 49 yards. The Seattle Seahawks fans don’t want to see him too much, but it’s good to know he can hit another one if needed.
Atlanta Falcons Offense:
The Falcons are on the road for this one. Arthur Smith’s squad is 0-2-0 this season after going 7-10 last year. He has been at the helm since 2021 and is looking to grab a road win here. The Atlanta Falcons have a betting line of +1 or you could bet them straight up at +108.
29-year-old Marcus Mariota will be under center for this one. He entered the league in 2015 after playing his college days at Oregon. Marcus Mariota has a quarterback rating of 80.5 on 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He’s started 2 games and thrown for 411yards, a completion percentage of 62.7.
Cordarrelle Patterson is the lead back for the Falcons running game. The 31-year-old has taken 32 carries and rushed for 161 yards this season. His yards per game currently sits at 80.5 YPG and he has scored 1 touchdowns with 0 fumbles.
On the passing front, Marcus Mariota will look to target Drake London against the Arthur Smith defense. Drake London has 1 touchdowns thus far this season and his team will be looking for more here. On the year, he’s been targeted 19 times and made 13 catches for 160 yards. Drake London has a catch percentage of 68.4% and his yards per reception is 12.3.
According to FootballOutsiders, the Atlanta Falcons offense has a Defense-adjusted Value Over Average of 7.2% which ranks at number 12 out of thirty two teams. The Passing DVOA is -1.0%, the number 18 ranked pass offense in the league. When running the ball, their Rush DVOA ranks at 11 with a Rush DVOA total of 24.9%.
If they hope to win on the road, they’ll need to do well in the Red Zone. For the year, they have scored 5 Red Zone touchdowns on 7 attempts, a Red Zone percentage of 0.714.
Atlanta Falcons Defense/Special Teams:
The team will be looking for touchdowns, but they have Younghoe Koo to knock down field goals if needed. His season long is a 54 yarder which is always helpful on the road. Younghoe Koo has made 5 field goals on 54 attempts, a field goal percentage of 71.4%.
The advanced stats from Football Outsiders have the Falcons with a Defensive DVOA of 13.1% which ranks at 24/32 in the NFL. They are a different team against the run and the pass though.
Against the pass they rank at #25 out of 32 teams with a Pass DVOA of 2.8%. Comparatively, the run defense has a 5.8% DVOA which ranks at #30.
Key Match-ups:
- Geno Smith QB Rating of 99.1 vs. Atlanta Falcons Pass DVOA Defense of -1.0%
The Falcons have 5 interceptions this year and 9 sacks. They are allowing 8.5 points per game. - Rashaad Penny vs. Atlanta Falcons number 11 ranked DVOA Rush Defense
Opponents are averaging 2.9 yards per carry against the the Atlanta Falcons and 66 per game. - Marcus Mariota QB Rating of 80.5 vs. Seattle Seahawks #25 ranked DVOA Pass Defense
The Seahawks defense has allowed 21.5 points per game thus far this season. They have sacked the quarterback 3 times and picked him off 0 times. - Cordarrelle Patterson vs. Seattle Seahawks 47.2% DVOA Rush Defense
The Seahawks are giving up 146 YPG on 4.5 per carry thus far this season.
Falcons/Seahawks Bettting Stats:
Falcons Against the spread: 2-0-0
Falcons Over/Under: 2-0-0
Seahawks Against the spread: 1-1-0
Seahawks Over/Under: 0-2-0
The best bet is Atlanta Falcons +1 and Over 42.